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Friday, 30 December 2022

European Economics News Preview: UK Nationwide House Price Data Due

House price data from the UK is the major economic news due on an otherwise light Friday.

At 2.00 am ET, UK Nationwide house price data is due for December. House price inflation is expected to ease to 2.3 percent from 4.4 percent in November.

At 3.00 am ET, the Swiss KOF leading indicator is due. Economists forecast the index to rise to 90.5 in December from 89.5 a month ago.

In the meantime, Spain's INE is scheduled to issue flash consumer and harmonized prices for December. EU harmonized inflation is forecast to ease to 6.0 percent from 6.7 percent in November.

At 4.00 am ET, Bank of Spain releases the balance of payments for October.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2205039/

Commodity Market Focus Shifts from Supply to Demand

Inflation, Ukraine and China’s Covid Response will be the three key commodity market themes in the coming year. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/9s2GuNK

Hoping For an Early Fed Pivot Does Not Mean We Will Get One

The US Federal Reserve may be more cautious about raising interest rates, but inflation could well force it to carry on doing so for longer than the markets’ cheap-money addicts would like. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/9s2GuNK

South Korea Inflation Data Due On Friday

South Korea will on Friday release December figures for consumer prices, highlighting a light day for Asia-Pacific economic activity.

In November, overall inflation was down 0.1 percent on month and up 5.0 percent on year, while core CPI rose 0.3 percent on month and 4.3 percent on year.

Also, the markets in South Korea are closed for New Year's Eve, while the markets in Australia and New Zealand will have half-day sessions.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2205037/

Treasuries Regain Ground Following Recent Weakness

After moving notably lower over the past several sessions, treasuries regained some ground during trading on Thursday.

Bond prices moved steadily higher over the course of the morning and remained firmly positive throughout the afternoon. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, slid 5.2 basis points to 3.835 percent.

With the pullback on the day, the ten-year yield gave back ground after ending the previous session at its highest closing level in well over a month.

The rebound by treasuries came as traders went bargain hunting following recent weakness, which reflected ongoing concerns about the outlook for interest rates.

Buying interest may also have been generated in reaction to a Labor Department report showing first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits rose by slightly more than expected in the week ended December 24th.

The report said initial jobless claims crept up to 225,000, an increase of 9,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 216,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to inch up to 222,000.

Overall trading activity remained below average, however, as many traders are still away from their desks due to the holidays.

With Friday marking the final trading day of 2022, activity may pick up somewhat but is likely to remain relatively subdued.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2205036/

Oil Futures Settle Lower As Inventory Data, China Covid Concerns Weigh

Crude oil prices drifted lower on Thursday, weighed down by concerns about a surge in Covid-19 cases in China, and on data showing an increase in U.S. crude inventories in the week ended December 23rd.

With Covid -19 cases rising in China, concerns about a global recession have risen, raising the possibility of a drop in energy demand.

There are concerns China may not be sharing data on any signs of evolving strains that could spark fresh outbreaks in countries around the world.

Already, several countries have announced measures in an effort to keep infections from spreading beyond China's borders. The U.S., Italy, Japan, India and Malaysia have announced that they would increase health measures for travellers from China.

A weak dollar helped limit oil's downside.

West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for February ended lower by $0.56 at $78.40 a barrel.

Brent crude futures were down $0.48 at $83.51 a barrel a little while ago.

Data released by U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) this morning showed crude inventories in the U.S. rose by 718,000 barrels last week, compared with forecasts for a drop of 1.5 million barrels.

The EIA data also showed gasoline stockpiles fell by 3.1 million barrels last week, as against expectations for a drop of 2.3 million barrels.

Meanwhile, distillate stockpiles increased by 0.3 million barrels last week, as against expectations for a drop of 2 million barrels.

The American Petroleum Institute released a report late Wednesday showing U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 1.3 million barrels in the week ended Dec. 23, which was less than expected.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2205035/

Thursday, 29 December 2022

*South Korea Industrial Production +0.4% On Month, -3.7% On Year In November

South Korea Industrial Production +0.4% On Month, -3.7% On Year In November


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204994/

*South Korea Retail Sales -1.8% On Month, -2.2% On Year In November

South Korea Retail Sales -1.8% On Month, -2.2% On Year In November


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204993/

Dollar Rises Against Major Counterparts

The U.S. dollar climbed higher against most of its major counterparts on Wednesday, after bond yields rose on hopes the Chinese economy will see decent growth following the loosening of Covid-19 curbs.

In U.S. economic news, a report released by the National Association of Realtors unexpectedly showed a continued slump in U.S. pending home sales in the month of November.

NAR said its pending home sales index tumbled by 4% to 73.9 in November after plunging by 4.7% to a revised 77.0 in October. The extended nosedive came as a surprise to economists, who had expected pending home sales to increase by 0.6%.

The dollar index, which dropped to 103.85 around mid morning, climbed to 104.56, gaining nearly 0.4%.

Against the Euro, the dollar firmed to 1.0613 from 1.0642.

The dollar is stronger against Pound Sterling at 1.2020, compared with 1.2031 on Tuesday.

Against the Japanese currency, the dollar strengthened to 134.46 yen, gaining from 133.50 yen.

The dollar is down slightly at 0.6739 against the Aussie, and strengthened against Swiss franc, fetching CHF 0.9289 a unit.

Against the Loonie, the dollar firmed to fetch C$1.3606, more than 0.6% up from the previous close of C$1.3522.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204991/

*BoJ Summary: Course Of Wage Revisions, Trend In Various Investments Warrant Close Monitoring

BoJ Summary: Course Of Wage Revisions, Trend In Various Investments Warrant Close Monitoring


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204966/

Wednesday, 28 December 2022

US Dollar Price Action Setups: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

The US Dollar is holding support at 103.82 as the door opens to 2023 trade, with major questions hanging around EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/FfsDlaS

S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Forecast: Into 2023

It was a bearish year for stocks but the swings were aggressive on both sides, offering setups on both sides to swing traders as a new theme took over markets in 2022. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/FfsDlaS

GBP Forecast: British Pound Consolidates In Thin Liquidity

GBP/USD is seeking a catalyst to breakout of the emerging rectangle pattern. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/tGqY81W

EUR/USD Outlook: Doji Candlestick Highlights Messy Price Action

EUR/USD moves higher in European trade following hawkish ECB comments. Without a catalyst a sustained break above 1.07 remains unlikely. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/tGqY81W

Inflation, China Covid Response and Ukraine Top 2023 Risk Charts

2022 offered an awful array of geopolitical and economic problems, none of which are going to get better just because the calendar flips. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/tGqY81W

Tesla Market Cap Plunges 72% Since 2021 Peak, Nasdaq 100 Sinks on Fed Woes

Tesla’s market capitalization plunged 72% since last year’s peak, which means it no longer towers over competition like it used to. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 sank with Fed woes. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/tGqY81W

Tuesday, 27 December 2022

Risk On or Risk Off in 2023: Looking to the Nasdaq - Dow Ratio

While most traders are focusing in on a single asset or perhaps market heading into the new trading year, I believe it pays to have a perspective on the broader system. And, for that fundamental backdrop, I believe the Nasdaq-Dow ratio offers interesting insight. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/tGqY81W

Top 3 FX Themes for 2023: USD, JPY, Euro

It was a big year for FX markets as the US Dollar jumped for the first three quarters of 2022 only to snap back with aggression in Q4. What’s in store for 2023? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/tGqY81W

Saturday, 24 December 2022

EURUSD Left in a Technical Lurch as Markets In Full Holiday Liquidity

This past week ended with the Fed’s favorite inflation indicator addressing one of the top macroeconomic themes. The S&P 500 generated volatility but held to range, the VIX naturally deflated and most Dollar crosses disarmed key technical patterns. The exception remains EURUSD. Will pressure force this pair in the final week of 2022? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/BAbadFr

Friday, 23 December 2022

*Australia Private Sector Credit +0.5% On Month, +8.9% On Year In November

Australia Private Sector Credit +0.5% On Month, +8.9% On Year In November


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204869/

Bank Of Japan Minutes On Tap For Friday

Japan will on Friday release the minutes from its monetary policy meeting on October 27-28, highlighting a busy day for Asia-Pacific economic activity.

At the meeting, the BoJ kept its massive monetary policy stimulus unchanged on Friday, defying the global tightening stance and maintaining its guidance on the interest rate despite the weakening yen. The policy board unanimously decided to maintain a negative interest rate of -0.1 percent on current accounts that financial institutions maintain at the central bank.

Japan also will see November numbers for consumer prices; in October, overall inflation was up 0.6 percent on month and 3.7 percent on year, while core CPI rose 3.6 percent on year.

Australia will see November figures for private sector credit; in October, it was up 0.6 percent on month.

Malaysia will provide November data for consumer prices. Inflation is expected to rise 3.9 percent on year, easing from 4.0 percent in October.

Singapore will release November figures for consumer prices and industrial production. Overall inflation is expected to rise 6.5 percent on year, down from 6.7 percent in October, while core CPI is tipped to ease to 5.00 percent from 5.10 percent. Industrial production is expected to slip 1.2 percent on month and 1.1 percent on year after adding 0.9 percent on month and falling 0.8 percent on year.

Taiwan will see November numbers for industrial production and M2 money supply. In October, output was down 3.56 percent on year, while the money supply climbed 7.32 percent.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204866/

Japanese Yen Slips on CPI Data but Bigger Storms Might be Brewing. Where to for USD/JPY?

The Japanese Yen is once again coming under scrutiny today after inflation data reveals the rationale for the Bank of Japan tilting toward a more hawkish stance earlier this week. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/9LuNT3O

Dollar Gains Against Most Of Its Rivals On Rate Hike Bets

The U.S. dollar climbed higher against most of its major rivals on Thursday after data showing an unexpectedly bigger jump in the nation's economic activity in the third quarter raised prospects of the Federal Reserve continuing its interest rate hikes in the coming months.

Data released by the Commerce Department showed the surge in real gross domestic product in the third quarter was upwardly revised to 3.2% from the previously reported 2.9%. Economists had expected the pace of GDP growth to be unrevised.

The stronger than previously estimated growth in the third quarter came after GDP slumped by 1.6% in the first quarter and fell by 0.6% in the second quarter.

The Conference Board released a report on Thursday showing a continued slump by its reading on leading U.S. economic indicators in the month of November.

The report said the leading economic index tumbled by 1% in November after sliding by a revised 0.9% in October. Economists had expected the leading economic index to decrease by 0.5% compared to the 0.8% drop originally reported for the previous month.

Data released by the Labor Department showed initial jobless claims crept up to 216,000 in the week ended December 17th, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's revised level of 214,000.

Economists had expected jobless claims to rise to 222,000 from the 211,000 originally reported for the previous week.

Traders looked ahead to tomorrow's report on personal income and spending, which includes a reading on inflation said to be preferred by the Fed.

The Fed Chair Jerome Powell said last week that the central bank will require "substantially more evidence" inflation is on a sustained downward trend before halting its interest rate hikes.

The dollar index climbed to 104.60 before easing to 104.41, but still remained positive, netting a gain of about 0.25%.

Against the Euro, the dollar was up slightly at 1.0598.

The dollar firmed to 1.2041 against Pound Sterling, gaining nearly 0.4%.

Against the Japanese currency, the dollar was slightly weak at 132.34 yen, compared with Wednesday's close of 132.46 yen a dollar.

Against the Aussie, the dollar firmed to 0.6671, and against Swiss franc, it strengthened to fetch CHF 0.9310 per unit, compared with CHF 0.9266 yesterday.

The dollar strengthened against the Loonie as well, firming to C$1.3650 from C$1.3614.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204865/

Treasuries Close Modestly Higher Ahead Of Key Inflation Reading

After ending the previous session nearly unchanged, treasuries showed a modest move to the upside during trading on Thursday.

Bond prices fluctuated over the course of the session but managed to close in positive territory. As a result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, edged down by 1.5 basis points to 3.669 percent.

Traders seemed reluctant to make significant moves ahead of tomorrow's report on personal income and spending, which includes a reading on inflation said to be preferred by the Federal Reserve.

With Fed Chair Jerome Powell saying the central bank will require "substantially more evidence" inflation is on a sustained downward trend before halting its interest rate hikes, traders are likely to keep a close eye on the inflation reading.

The Labor Department released a report this morning showing a modest increase in first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits in the week ended December 17th.

The report said initial jobless claims crept up to 216,000, an increase of 2,000 from the previous week's revised level of 214,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to rise to 222,000 from the 211,000 originally reported for the previous week.

A separate report from the Commerce Department showed U.S. economic activity unexpectedly jumped more than previously estimated in the third quarter.

The report showed the surge in real gross domestic product in the third quarter was upwardly revised to 3.2 percent from the previously reported 2.9 percent. Economists had expected the pace of GDP growth to be unrevised.

The stronger than previously estimated growth in the third quarter came after GDP slumped by 1.6 percent in the first quarter and fell by 0.6 percent in the second quarter.

Meanwhile, the Conference Board released a report showing a continued slump by its reading on leading U.S. economic indicators in the month of November.

The report said the leading economic index tumbled by 1.0 percent in November after sliding by a revised 0.9 percent in October.

Economists had expected the leading economic index to decrease by 0.5 percent compared to the 0.8 percent drop originally reported for the previous month.

While the inflation reading is likely to be in the spotlight on Friday, traders are also likely to keep an eye on reports on durable goods orders, new home sales and consumer sentiment.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204863/

Gold Price, Dow Jones, US Dollar in Focus after Supportive US GDP Revisions

Gold prices and the Dow Jones sank as the US Dollar rallied. Supportive US GDP revisions bolstered hawkish Fed policy bets. Markets are vulnerable to thin trading conditions. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/9LuNT3O

Thursday, 22 December 2022

GBP/USD Edges Higher Despite UK GDP Shrinking More Than Expected in Q3

UK GDP Shrank more than expected in Q3 as recession fears received further validation. GBP/USD flirts with the 200-day MA, Break or Bounce…? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/9LuNT3O

*Japan Oct Final Leading Index 98.6 Vs. 98.2 In September

Japan Oct Final Leading Index 98.6 Vs. 98.2 In September


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204809/

US Dollar Slides As Markets Take Stock Ahead of Holidays. Where to for USD?

The US Dollar is weaker today as markets appear to be putting the cue back in the rack ahead of the holidays next week. Will thin trading conditions undermine the DXY (USD) Index? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/TNYi6l2

Japanese Yen Recoils Amid Recalibration After BoJ Shock. Will USD/JPY Go Lower?

The Japanese Yen appears perplexed against the US Dollar as markets try to decipher the implications of the Bank of Japan’s shift in yield curve control. Where to for USD/JPY? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/TNYi6l2

Dollar Stays Firm Against Major Rivals

The U.S. dollar stayed firm against most of its major counterparts on Wednesday amid bets the Federal Reserve will continue to stay a bit aggressive with regard to interest rate hikes in the coming months.

A report from the Conference Board showed its consumer confidence index spiked to 108.3 in December from an upwardly revised 101.4 in November. Economists had expected the index to inch up to 101.0 from the 100.2 originally reported for the previous month.

With the much bigger than expected surge, the consumer confidence index reached its highest level since April 2022.

Meanwhile, the National Association of Realtors released a separate report showing existing home sales dove by 7.7% to an annual rate of 4.09 million in November after plunging by 5.9% to a rate of 4.43 million in October. Economists had expected existing home sales to tumble by 5.2% to a rate of 4.20 million.

Existing home sales decreased for the tenth consecutive month and are down by 35.4% compared to the same month a year ago.

The dollar index, which briefly fell into the red in the U.S. session early this morning, climbed to 104.38 a little past noon, and was last seen hovering around 104.20, up 0.23% from the previous close.

Against the Euro, the dollar firmed to 1.0591, but pared some gains and eased to 1.0612, but remains positive with a modest gain.

The dollar strengthened to 1.2084 against Pound Sterling, gaining from 1.2185.

Against the Japanese currency, the dollar is stronger, fetching 132.35 yen a unit, compared with 131.70 yen on Tuesday.

The Aussie is stronger against the dollar, with the AUD/USD pair firming to 0.6708 from 0.6678.

Against Swiss franc, the dollar is little changed at CHF 0.9265.

The dollar is slightly weak against the Loonie at C$1.3605, easing from the previous close of C$1.3613. Data released by Statistics Canada showed Canada's annual inflation rate came in at 6.8% in November of 2022, easing slightly from the 6.9% in the prior month. On a monthly basis, Canadian consumer prices rose by 0.1% in November, slowing from a 0.7% gain in the prior month.

Core inflation rate in Canada held steady at 5.8% in November of 2022, the same as in October. Compared to the previous month, core consumer prices were flat.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204805/

Australian Dollar, S&P 500 Gain as Nike Earnings, Consumer Confidence Boost Markets

The sentiment-linked Australian Dollar climbed alongside the S&P 500 as an improvement in risk appetite boosted markets, driven by rosy Nike earnings and US consumer confidence data. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/TNYi6l2

Wednesday, 21 December 2022

EUR/USD Forecast: Euro Bolstered by GfK Consumer Confidence

The euro grapples with positive German consumer sentiment and a stronger USD ahead of U.S. consumer confidence data later today. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/TNYi6l2

*Australia Nov Westpac Leading Index Growth Falls To -0.92% From -0.84% In October

Australia Nov Westpac Leading Index Growth Falls To -0.92% From -0.84% In October


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204757/

Crude Oil Holds the High Ground as Risks Swirl in BoJ Aftermath. Will WTI Rally?

Crude oil has consolidated recent gains as volatility around it calms down after yesterday’s wild ride that saw the Japanese Yen blaze higher. Will further tightening impede WTI? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/TNYi6l2

Australian Dollar Pummelled in the Japanese Yen Melee Post BoJ. Where to for AUD/JPY?

The Australian Dollar nosedived against the Japanese Yen after the Bank of Japan adjusted its monetary policy that might follow the RBA example. Will AUD/JPY keep going lower? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/cfejYs8

*New Zealand Trade Deficit NZ$1.863 Billion In November

New Zealand Trade Deficit NZ$1.863 Billion In November


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204754/

Treasuries Move Sharply Lower On Bank Of Japan Policy Shift

After moving sharply lower over the two previous sessions, treasuries saw further downside during trading on Tuesday.

Bond prices came under pressure in early trading and remained firmly negative throughout the session. As a result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, jumped 10.3 basis points to 3.684 percent.

The continued weakness among treasuries came after the Bank of Japan said it would review its yield curve control policy and widened its target band for interest rates.

Analysts said the surprise policy shift would allow long-term interest rates to rise more, raising fears of an eventual tightening in policy.

Concerns about the outlook for U.S. interest rates also continue to weigh on treasuries, with the Federal Reserve signaling last week that it intends on continuing to raise rates next year.

On Friday, the Commerce Department is due to release its report on personal income and spending, which includes a reading on inflation said to be preferred by the Fed.

With Fed Chair Jerome Powell saying the central bank will require "substantially more evidence" inflation is on a sustained downward trend before halting its rate hikes, traders are likely to keep a close eye on the inflation reading. In U.S. economic news, the Commerce Department released a report showing a decrease in new residential construction in the U.S. in the month of November.

The report said housing starts fell by 0.5 percent to an annual rate of 1.427 million in November after tumbling by 2.1 percent to a revised rate of 1.434 million in October.

Economists had expected housing starts to decline by 0.7 percent to a rate of 1.415 million from the 1.425 million originally reported for the previous month.

The Commerce Department also said building permits plunged by 11.2 percent to an annual rate of 1.342 million in November after slumping by 3.3 percent to a revised rate of 1.512 million in October.

Building permits, an indicator of future housing demand, were expected to dive by 3.7 percent to 1.470 million from the 1.526 million originally reported for the previous month.

Looking ahead, trading on Wednesday may be impacted by reaction to reports on consumer confidence and existing home sales.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204750/

Tuesday, 20 December 2022

US Dollar Benefits as BoJ Capitulates to Tighter Policy, Sinking Risk Assets

The US Dollar ascendency got back on track against most currencies except the Japanese Yen after the Bank of Japan surprisingly tightened monetary policy today. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/cfejYs8

Japanese Yen Roars on BoJ Policy Adjustment. New Lows for USD/JPY?

The Japanese Yen leapt higher against the US Dollar today after the Bank of Japan changed their yield curve control target range. Where to for USD/JPY? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/cfejYs8

S&P 500 Slide is Stretched While Majors Positioned for Various Reversals

The S&P 500 carried over the bearish momentum that risk trends experienced last week, but the index looks stretched and faces significant technical barriers ahead. Meanwhile, the Dollar-based majors are staged for technical reversal with event risk and liquidity conditions blurring the intent for the next stage. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/yckVvhg

Japan Rate Decision On Tap For Tuesday

The Bank of Japan will wrap up its monetary policy meeting on Tuesday and then announce its decision on interest rates, highlighting a modest day for Asia-Pacific economic activity. The BoJ is widely expected to keep its benchmark lending rate unchanged at -0.10 percent.

The Reserve Bank of Australia will release the minutes from its monetary policy meeting on December 8.

At the meeting, the RBA raised its key interest rate by a quarter-point for a third straight policy meeting, thus slowed the pace of rate hikes from a more aggressive 50 basis points previously as policymakers turned less hawkish amid expectations for slower economic growth ahead.

Australia also will see December results for the Business Confidence Index from ANZ; in November, the index score was -57.1.

Taiwan will see November data for export orders; in October, export orders were down 6.3 percent on year.

China will provide updates rate information for its one-year and five-year prime loans; previously, they were 3.65 percent and 4.3 percent, respectively.

Hong Kong will release November numbers for consumer prices; in October, overall inflation up 0.3 percent on month and 1.8 percent on year.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204683/

S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100 Sink as Treasury Yields Climb, APAC Stocks at Risk

The S&P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 sank on Monday as Treasury yields rallied, extending moves from last week. This is leaving APAC equities, like the Nikkei 225 and ASX 200, at risk. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/yckVvhg

Oil Futures Climb Higher On Optimism About Energy Demand

Crude oil prices climbed higher on Monday amid optimism about increased demand for oil from China after the country relaxed certain Covid-related restrictions.

Traders also reacted positively to the Chinese government's announcement d plans to step up support for the economy.

China has vowed to fight all pessimism about its economy, and said it will do what it takes to boost economic growth.

However, fears of a global recession amid rising interest rates capped oil's upside.

West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for January ended higher by $0.91 or about 1.25% at $75.20 a barrel.

Brent crude futures were up $1.21 or 1.52% at $80.25 a barrel.

The U.S. energy department's announcement last week that it will start repurchasing crude for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve contributed as well to the rise oil prices.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204682/

Gold Futures Settle Slightly Lower

Gold futures settled lower on Monday with investors continuing to react to the latest rate hikes by global central banks and the hawkish comments by the Federal Reserve.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said after the monetary policy meeting last Wednesday that the central bank will require "substantially more evidence" inflation is on a sustained downward trend before halting its rate hikes.

A subdued dollar helped limit gold's downside. The dollar index, which fell to 104.13 in the Asian session, recovered gradually and briefly emerged above the flat line a little before noon, but retreated soon. It was last seen at 104.57, down 0.13% from the previous close.

Gold futures for February ended down $2.50 or about 0.1% at $1,797.70 an ounce.

Silver futures for March ended lower by $0.129 at $23.199 an ounce, while Copper futures for March settled at $3.7830 per pound, gaining 0.0215.

In U.S. economic news today, a report released by the National Association of Home Builders showed homebuilder confidence in the U.S. has unexpectedly seen a continued deterioration in the month of December.

The report showed the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index fell to 31 in December from 33 in November. The decreased surprised economists, who had expected the index to rise to 36.

The housing market index declined for the twelfth straight month, falling to its lowest reading since mid-2012, with the exception of the onset of the pandemic in the spring of 2020.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204681/

Monday, 19 December 2022

*New Zealand Q4 Westpac Consumer Confidence 75.6 Vs. 87.6 In Q3

New Zealand Q4 Westpac Consumer Confidence 75.6 Vs. 87.6 In Q3


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204654/

Euro Firms on US Dollar Weakness as Fed Hawks Undermine Equities. Has EUR/USD Peaked?

The Euro made some headway today after the US Dollar backtracked despite the Federal Reserve signalling rates will go higher and for longer. Where to for EUR/USD? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/yckVvhg

China FDI Data On Tap For Monday

China will on Monday release November numbers for foreign direct investment, highlighting a light day for Asia-Pacific economic activity. In October, FDI was up 14.4 percent on year.

Australia will see October figures for job advertisements; in September, job ads were down 0.5 percent on month.

New Zealand will see Q4 numbers for the West Consumer Confidence Index and November figures for the Performance of Services Index from BusinessNZ. The consumer confidence index had a score of 87.6 in Q3, while the services index came in at 57.4 in October.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204653/

Japanese Yen Ran Higher on a Potential BoJ Policy Shift. Will USD/JPY Break Lower?

The Japanese Yen got a boost against the US Dollar today after news over the weekend of a possible tilt toward a more flexible monetary policy for the Bank of Japan in 2023. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/yckVvhg

*New Zealand Performance Of Services Index 53.7 In November - BusinessNZ

New Zealand Performance Of Services Index 53.7 In November - BusinessNZ


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Sunday, 18 December 2022

Markets Week Ahead: Dow Jones, US Dollar, Gold, Japanese Yen, PCE, Bank of Japan

The Dow Jones, DAX 40 and Nikkei 225 fell as volatility struck markets last week. Ahead, the US Dollar and gold prices await US PCE data while USD/JPY turns to the Bank of Japan. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/T9JrLzp

Saturday, 17 December 2022

Dollar Outlook Still Carries Important Event Risk and Technical Pressure

Holiday trading conditions may start for the Dollar and broader markets in the coming week, but the range of important event risk may actually turn thin liquidity into charged volatility. With the debate around a pivot in fundamental and technical bearing for this benchmark, traders should keep a wary eye on this market. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/T9JrLzp

S&P 500 Tumble Versus EURUSD Breakout: What Can Holiday Liquidity Achieve This Week?

Despite the depth of major event risk this past week, there wasn’t a clear reconciliation for bearing behind risk assets like the S&P 500 nor the Dollar. We are heading into a well-known liquidity drain over the coming week, but congestion patterns like those from EURUSD are likely to find at least a break – if not a trend. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/5itT8xm

Dollar Continues To Stay Firm

The U.S. dollar firmed against most of its major counterparts on Friday after staying a bit sluggish for much of the day's session.

The Federal Reserve's hawkish tone earlier this week continued to push up the demand for the currency.

Data showing a contraction in U.S. business activity in the month of December weighed on dollar earlier in the session, but the currency slowly edged its way up to eventually settle fairly well above the flat line.

Comments from New York Fed President John Williams that the central bank might raise interest rates more than it currently expects next year, contributed a bit to the dollar's surge.

The dollar index settled at 104.84, gaining 0.26% in the session

Against the euro, the dollar firmed to 1.0587.

The dollar strengthened to 1.2141 against Pound Sterling, gaining about 0.3%.

Against the Japanese currency, the dollar gave up some ground, and settled at 136.70 yen, nearly 0.8% down from the previous close.

The dollar strengthened to 0.6685 against the Aussie, and was stronger against the Swiss franc as well, fetching CHF 0.9342 a unit. Against the Loonie, the dollar firmed to C$1.3726, gaining more than 0.5%.


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British Pound Forecast – GBP Pummeled by BoE Rate Split and Strikes

The British Pound is under pressure going into the weekend after yesterday’s BoE rate hike indecision left traders unimpressed Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/5itT8xm

Australian Dollar Outlook: US Dollar Roars Back to Life

The Australian Dollar got dusted after the US Dollar regained its ascendency amid central bankers re-iterating their hawkish stance after a series of hikes. Will AUD/USD go lower? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/5itT8xm

Gold Futures Settle Modestly Higher As Dollar Turns Subdued

Gold futures settled higher on Friday as the dollar stayed a bit sluggish, taking a breather after recent strong gains.

The dollar surged higher in recent sessions, riding on a hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve. The central bank, which raised interest rate by 50 basis points on Wednesday, said further increases would be appropriate as inflation remains "at elevated level."

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in his post meeting press conference on Wednesday that the central bank will require "substantially more evidence" inflation is on a sustained downward trend before halting its rate hikes.

The dollar index, which surged to 104.74 in the Asian session, slipped subsequently and despite edging above the flat line later on in the session, continues to make a significant move up north. The index was last seen at 104.59, up slightly from the previous close.

Gold futures for February ended higher by $12.40 or about 0.7% at $1,800.20 an ounce.

Silver futures for March ended up $0.023 at $23.328 an ounce, while Copper futures for March settled at $3.7615 per pound, down $0.0015 from the previous close.


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Friday, 16 December 2022

*Japan Manufacturing PMI 48.8 In December; Services PMI 51.7 - Jibun Bank

Japan Manufacturing PMI 48.8 In December; Services PMI 51.7 - Jibun Bank


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Crude Oil Caught in ECB Maelstrom After Rate Hikes and Hawkishness Prevails

Crude oil is slightly softer today after US Dollar ascendency got back on track and the ECB got their message across loud and clear. Will WTI crude oil head higher again? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/izEnjkf

*Singapore Non-Oil Domestic Exports -9.2% On Month, -14.6% On Year In November

Singapore Non-Oil Domestic Exports -9.2% On Month, -14.6% On Year In November


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Dollar Continues To Ride On Fed's Hawkish Comments

The U.S. dollar surged higher on Thursday, scoring gains against most of its major counterparts, as hawkish remarks by the Fed pushed up the demand for the safe-haven currency.

After raising interest rate by 50 basis points on Wednesday, the Fed signaled more rate increases in the coming months, saying inflation is still at elevated levels.

Today, the European Central Bank (ECB), the Bank of England (BoE) and the Swiss National Bank (SNB), all raised their interest rates, and the ECB and SNB signaled further tightening in the coming months.

The ECB has raised interest rates by 50 basis points today, slowing the pace of increases after raising rates by 75 points at the previous two meetings. The bank says it expects to raise rates further as "inflation remains far too high and is projected to stay above the target for too long."

The BoE lifted its benchmark rate for the ninth consecutive meeting on Thursday but moderated the pace of tightening from the previous session's 75 basis point hike amid rising concerns that the UK economy is in recession.

The rate-setting committee of the BoE raised the Bank Rate by 50 basis points to 3.5%, the highest since October 2008.

Switzerland's central bank raised its key interest rate for the third straight meeting and said it cannot rule further tightening in the policy rate, to counter rising inflationary pressures and spread of inflation.

The Swiss National Bank raised its policy rate by 0.5 percentage points to 1%. The outcome of the meeting widely matched expectations.

The dollar index climbed to 104.88, and despite easing to 104.62, was still up by a strong 0.82% over its previous close.

Against the Euro, the dollar firmed to 1.0628 from 1.0682.

The dollar is strong against Pound Sterling at 1.2176, about 2% up from Wednesday's close of 1.2425.

Against the Japanese currency, the dollar strengthened, fetching 137.78 yen a unit, compared with 135.47 yen on Wednesday.

The Aussie weakened against the dollar, with the AUD/USD pair at 0.6701, sliding from 0.6863.

Against Swiss franc, the dollar firmed to CHF 0.9285 from CHF 0.9245. The dollar is stronger against the loonie at C$ 1.3666, rising from C$ 1.3548.


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Gold and Dow Jones Sink After ECB Spooked Markets, XAU/USD Reversal in Motion?

Gold prices sank the most in 3 months alongside the Dow Jones after a slew of rates hikes from central banks in Europe. Is more pain in store for XAU/USD after a wedge breakout? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/izEnjkf

Oil Futures Settle Sharply Lower

Crude oil futures settled lower on Thursday as concerns about supply eased a bit following a partial restart of the Keystone Pipeline.

The dollar's rise on hawkish comments by the Federal Reserve weighed as well on oil prices.

The economic projections provided along with the announcement suggest the Fed expects rates to ultimately be raised higher than forecast back in September.

In his post-meeting press conference on Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said it will require "substantially more evidence" inflation is on a sustained downward trend, likely attracting even more attention to the inflation data due ahead of the next meeting.

The European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank also raised interest rates, and signaled further tightening to rein in inflation.

West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for January ended lower by $1.17 or about 1.5% at $76.11 a barrel.

Brent crude futures settled at $81.21 a barrel today, losing $1.17 or about 1.5%.

Data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration revealed an unexpected 10-million- barrel accumulation in inventories. Markets were expecting a 3.6-million-barrel draw from inventories as compared to a 5.2-million-barrel draw in the previous week.


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Treasuries Move To The Upside On Troubling Economic Data

After ending the previous session roughly flat, treasuries moved to the upside over the course of the trading day on Thursday.

Bond prices fluctuated early in the day but climbed more firmly into positive territory as the day progressed. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, slid 5.3 basis points 3.450 percent.

Treasuries benefited from their appeal as a safe haven, as a batch of disappointing U.S. economic data added to concerns the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes will push the economy into a recession.

Early in the day, the Commerce Department released a report showing retail sales pulled back by more than expected in the month of November.

The Commerce Department said retail sales slid by 0.6 percent in November after surging by 1.3 percent in October. Economists had expected retail sales to edge down by 0.1 percent.

Excluding a steep drop in sale by motor vehicle and parts dealers, retail sales slipped by 0.2 percent in November after jumping by 1.2 percent in October. Ex-auto sales were expected to inch up by 0.2 percent.

A separate report released by the Federal Reserve unexpectedly showed a modest decrease in U.S. industrial production in the month of November.

The Fed said industrial production slipped by 0.2 percent in November after edging down by 0.1 percent in October. Economists had expected industrial production to inch up by 0.1 percent.

The unexpected dip in industrial production came as manufacturing output fell by 0.6 percent and mining output slid by 0.7 percent.

Meanwhile, a 3.6 percent spike in utilities output helped limit the downside amid unseasonably cold weather across much of the country.

Separate reports from the New York and Philadelphia Federal Reserves also showed contractions in regional manufacturing activity in the month of December.

"The 0.6% m/m falls in retail sales and manufacturing output in November suggest that the economy has lost some serious momentum, with the resilience of consumers to much higher interest rates starting to crumble," said Andrew Hunter, Senior U.S. Economist at Capital Economics.

He added, "Solid gains in previous months mean real consumption growth should still be strong in the fourth quarter as a whole, but we expect the economy to slip into a mild recession in the first half of next year as the Fed's relentless hawkishness takes its toll."

Following the avalanche of U.S. economic data this morning, the economic calendar is relatively quiet on Friday, potentially leading to choppy trading.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204570/

Gold Futures Settle Sharply Lower As Dollar Rises

Gold prices fell sharply on Thursday as the dollar climbed higher on hawkish comments by the Federal Reserve.

After raising interest rate by another 50 basis points on Wednesday, the Fed warned that warned that interest rates would peak at a higher level than anticipated earlier. In the summary of economic projections released by the Fed, the peak federal funds rate is pegged at 5.1% versus 4.6% projected in September and 3.8% projected in June 2022.

The dollar index, which dropped to 103.54 earlier in the day, surged to 104.88, gaining more than 1%.

Gold futures for February ended lower by $30.90 or about 1.7% at $1,787.80 an ounce.

Silver futures for March ended down $0.831 at $23.305 an ounce, while Copper futures for March settled at $3.7630 per pound, down $0.1140 from the previous close.

The European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank, all raised their lending rates today. The ECB and the SNB, both have said more tightening is likely as inflation remains at elevated levels.

In U.S. economic news today, data released by the Commerce Department said retail sales slid by 0.6% in November after surging by 1.3% in October. Economists had expected retail sales to edge down by 0.1%.

Excluding a steep drop in sale by motor vehicle and parts dealers, retail sales slipped by 0.2% in November after jumping by 1.2% in October. Ex-auto sales were expected to inch up by 0.2%.

A separate report released by the Federal Reserve unexpectedly showed a modest decrease in U.S. industrial production in the month of November.

The Fed said industrial production slipped by 0.2% in November after edging down by 0.1% in October. Economists had expected industrial production to inch up by 0.1%.

The unexpected dip in industrial production came as manufacturing output fell by 0.6% and mining output slid by 0.7%.

Meanwhile, a 3.6% spike in utilities output helped limit the downside amid unseasonably cold weather across much of the country.

Separate reports from the New York and Philadelphia Federal Reserves also showed contractions in regional manufacturing activity in the month of December.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204569/

Thursday, 15 December 2022

Australian Dollar Reversal Warnings Grow as AUD/USD Falls on Disappointing Chinese Data

The Australian Dollar fell as Chinese industrial production and retail sales disappointed across the board. AUD/USD bearish reversal warnings continue growing. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/Sqyr8EB

*New Zealand GDP +2.0% On Quarter, +6.4% On Year In Q3

New Zealand GDP +2.0% On Quarter, +6.4% On Year In Q3


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South Korea Export Prices Rise 8.6% On Year In November

Export prices in South Korea were up 8.6 percent on year in November, the Bank of Korea said on Thursday - slowing from 13.5 percent in October.

Import prices climbed an annual 14.2 percent, easing from 19.8 percent in the previous month.

On a monthly basis, export prices fell 5.2 percent and import prices fell 5.3 percent.

Individually, exports of agriculture products fell 2.1 percent on month and gained8.1 percent on year, while manufacturing products sank 5.2 percent on month and advanced 8.6 percent on year.

Imports of raw materials dropped 8.0 percent on month and surged 25.2 percent on year, while intermediate goods fell 4.0 percent on month and gained 9.2 percent on year, capital goods slipped 2.8 percent on month and rallied10.0 percent on year and consumer goods fell 3.0 percent on month and rose 7.0 percent on year.


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*South Korea Import Prices +14.2% On Year In November; Export Prices +8.6%

South Korea Import Prices +14.2% On Year In November; Export Prices +8.6%


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Treasuries Close Roughly Flat Following Choppy Trading Day

Treasuries showed a lack of direction throughout the trading session on Wednesday, continuing to experience choppy trading after the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated monetary policy announcement.

Bond prices initially reacted negatively to the Fed announcement before recovering to end the day roughly flat. As a result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, crept up by less than a basis point to 3.503 percent.

The roughly flat close by treasuries came after the Fed announced its widely expected decision to slow the pace of interest rate increases but still signaled further rate hikes.

After raising interest rates by 75 basis points at four consecutive meetings, the Fed announced its decision to raise interest rates by 50 basis points to a target range of 4.25 to 4.50 percent.

The text of the Fed's accompanying statement was largely unchanged from last month, however, with the central bank reiterating that it anticipates ongoing increases in rates will be appropriate.

The economic projections provided along with the announcement also suggest the Fed expects rates to ultimately be raised higher than forecast back in September.

The median forecast suggests rates will be raised to a so-called terminal rate of 5.1 percent next year compared to the September projection of 4.6 percent.

Responding to the announcement, Ryan Sweet, Chief U.S. Economist at Oxford Economics, said the odds are increasing that the Fed will raise interest rates more than currently anticipated.

"There has been some good news on the inflation front, but the Fed can't dampen the inflation attributed to supply-shocks because the target fed funds rate is a blunt instrument that impacts only the demand-side of the economy," Sweet said.

He added, "This keeps the risk of a policy misstep high since the Fed needs to lean against the recent easing in financial market conditions."

The Fed's next monetary policy meeting is scheduled for January 31-February 1, with CME Group's FedWatch Tool currently indicating a 47.7 percent chance of another 50 basis point rate increase and a 42.8 percent chance of 25 basis point rate hike.

In his post-meeting press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said it will require "substantially more evidence" inflation is on a sustained downward trend, likely attracting even more attention to the inflation data due ahead of the next meeting.

Trading on Thursday may continue to be impacted by reaction to the Fed announcement, although traders are also likely to keep an eye on a slew of economic data, including reports on weekly jobless claims, retail sales and industrial production.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204440/

Oil Futures Settle Sharply Higher As IEA Raises Oil Demand Forecast

Despite data showing an increase in U.S. crude inventories last week, crude oil prices climbed higher on Wednesday, lifted by an upward revision in oil demand forecast by the International Energy Agency (IEA).

Supply concerns due to the shutdown of the Keystone pipeline following a massive leak of over 14,000 barrels of oil in Kansas last week, contributed as well to the rise in oil prices.

It is still not known as yet as to how long it would take to clean up and restart the pipeline.

West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for January ended higher by $1.89 or about 2.5% at $77.28 a barrel.

Brent crude futures were up $2.10 or 2.6% at $82.78 a barrel a little while ago.

In its December report, the IEA raised its forecast for oil demand growth in 2023 to 1.7 million barrels a day. Meanwhile, the OPEC expects global oil demand to be 2.2 million barrels per day in 2023.

Data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed crude inventories rose by 10.231 million barrels last week, against expectations for a draw of 3.595 million barrels.

Gasoline inventories increased by 4.496?million barrels, as against forecast for an increase of 2.714 million barrels.?

Distillate stockpiles rose by 1.364 million barrels last week, compared with expectations for a build of 2.517 million barrels.

Data released by the American Petroleum Institute late Tuesday showed crude oil inventories in the U.S. rose by 7.819 million barrels in the week ended December 9, as against expectations for a decline of 3.913 million barrels.

After raising interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point at four consecutive meetings, the Federal Reserve today slowed the pace of rate increases but still signaled further rate hikes.

In a widely expected move, the Fed announced its decision to raise interest rates by 50 basis points, or half a percentage point, to a target range of 4.25 to 4.50%.


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Japanese Yen Eyes Support After Fed Failed Convincing Markets About Rate Outlook

The Japanese Yen faces key support after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates and struggled to convince markets about its policy outlook. AUD/USD awaits Australian employment figures. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/Sqyr8EB

EURUSD Outlook Has Technical Pressure and the ECB Rate Decision

The FOMC decision has passed with a more hawkish message than the markets were expecting…and yet the market maintains its skepticism. That has kept the S&P 500 within its narrow range and leaves EURUSD’s technical congestion undetonated. Will the ECB decide the next move for the pair? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/Sqyr8EB

Wednesday, 14 December 2022

US Dollar Languishes in the Aftermath of US CPI and Ahead of the Fed. Lows for USD?

The US Dollar tanked after a soft CPI number gave the market hope of an end to hawkishness from the Federal Reserve when they meet later today Where to for the DXY (USD) index? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/p3ZGW5S

*New Zealand Has NZ$5.9 Billion Current Account Deficit In Q3

New Zealand Has NZ$5.9 Billion Current Account Deficit In Q3


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Dollar Loses Ground Against Major Rivals After Soft Inflation Data

The U.S. dollar drifted lower against its major counterparts on Tuesday amid bets the Federal Reserve will slowdown the pace of rate hike after data showed the nation's consumer price inflation slowed more than expected in November.

The Labor Department's report said the consumer price index crept up by 0.1% in November after climbing by 0.4% in October. Economists had expected consumer prices to rise by 0.3%.

The report also showed the annual rate of growth by consumer prices slowed to 7.1% in November from 7.7% in October.

The Federal Reserve, which is scheduled to announce its monetary policy on Wednesday, is still likely to raise interest rate by another 50 basis points, but the slower price growth may offset recent worries about future rate hikes.

The Bank of England, the European Central Bank and the Swiss National Bank are also scheduled to announce their monetary policies this week.

The dollar index dropped to a low of 103.59 soon after the release of the inflation data, and despite recovering to 104.03, remains deep down in negative territory with a loss of about 1.06%.

Against the Euro, the dollar is trading at 1.0632, down from the previous close of 1.0539.

The dollar is weak against Pound Sterling at 1.2367, easing from 1.2273.

Against the Japanese currency, the dollar is sharply lower, fetching 135.62 yen a unit, as against 137.64 yen on Monday.

The dollar has weakened to 0.6854 against the Aussie, dropping from 0.6747.

Against Swiss franc, the dollar is down more than 0.7%, fetching CHF 0.9292 a unit, compared with CHF 0.9361 on Monday.

The dollar is weak against the Loonie as well, having dropped to C$ 1.3553 from C$1.3634.


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Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Reverse CPI Rally as Traders Look Beyond the Fed Pivot

The Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 reversed a CPI-induced rally as traders seemingly looked beyond the Fed pivot and towards the next tightening cycle in the distant future. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/p3ZGW5S

Oil Futures Settle Sharply Higher

Crude oil prices rose sharply on Tuesday due to concerns about supply disruptions amid the ongoing shutdown of the Keystone pipeline following a massive leak last week.

A weak dollar too supported oil prices. Data from the Labor Department showed consumer prices in the U.S. inched up by less than expected in the month of November.

West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for January ended higher by $2.22 or about 3% at $75.39 a barrel.

Brent crude futures were up $2.76 or 3.54% at $80.75 a barrel a little while ago.

The report from the Labor Department said the consumer price index edged up 0.1% in November, after climbing by 0.4% in October. Economists had expected consumer prices to rise by 0.3%.

The report also showed the annual rate of growth by consumer prices slowed to 7.1% in November from 7.7% in October.

The year-over-year increase in November, which came in below expectations for a slowdown to 7.3%, reflects the slowest annual growth since December 2021.

The Chinese government's decision to loosen some Covid-related restrictions helped ease concerns about demand for energy. According to reports, China has withdrawn a state-mandated app used to track people whether they had travelled to COVID-stricken areas.

Beijing's U.S. envoy on Monday said he expects further relaxations in the near future so that international travel to the country will become easier.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204354/

Gold Futures Settle Notably Higher As Dollar Slips After Soft Inflation Data

Gold futures settled notably higher on Tuesday as the dollar fell sharply after soft consumer price inflation data helped ease concerns about the outlook for interest rates.

The Labor Department's report said the consumer price index crept up by 0.1% in November after climbing by 0.4% in October. Economists had expected consumer prices to rise by 0.3%.

The report also showed the annual rate of growth by consumer prices slowed to 7.1% in November from 7.7% in October.

The Federal Reserve, which is scheduled to announce its monetary policy on Wednesday, is still likely to raise interest rate by another 50 basis points, but the slower price growth may offset recent worries about future rate hikes.

The dollar index fell to 103.59 after the Labor Department released the inflation data. Despite recovering to 103.99, the index remains deep down in negative territory with a loss of about 1.1%.

Gold futures for February surged to a near six-month high at $1,836.80, before settling at $1,825.50 an ounce, up $33.20 or about 1.9% from the previous close.

Silver futures for March ended up $0.587 at $23.990 an ounce, while Copper futures for March settled at $3.8420 per pound, gaining $0.0415.

The Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, the European Central Bank and the Swiss National Bank are set to announce their monetary policies this week.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204353/

Tuesday, 13 December 2022

*Australia Consumer Confidence Index +3.0% In December To 80 - Westpac

Australia Consumer Confidence Index +3.0% In December To 80 - Westpac


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Gold Price Outlook Now Turns to CPI Data as XAU/USD Flirts With Wedge Breakout

Gold prices fell ahead of key US CPI data due later on Tuesday. XAU/USD is flirting with breaking under a bearish Rising Wedge ahead of the data. Will it be punished? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/mgQONHB

New Zealand Food Prices Rise 1.0% In November

Food prices in New Zealand were up a seasonally adjusted 1.0 percent on month in November, Statistics New Zealand said on Tuesday - after adding 0.8 percent in October.

Individually, fruit and vegetable rose 0.9 percent on month, while meat, poultry, and fish prices rose 1.2 percent, grocery food prices rose 0.8 percent, non-alcoholic beverage prices rose 0.8 percent and restaurant meals and ready-to-eat food prices rose 0.5 percent.

On an annual basis, food prices jumped 10.7 percent - up from 10.1 percent in the previous month.

Individually, fruit and vegetable prices increased 20 percent on year, while meat, poultry, and fish prices increased 12 percent, grocery food prices increased 10 percent, non-alcoholic beverage prices increased 7.8 percent and restaurant meals and ready-to-eat food prices increased 8.0 percent.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204290/

Australia Consumer Confidence Index Data Due On Tuesday

Australia will on Tuesday see December results for the consumer confidence index from Westpac Bank, highlighting a modest day for Asia-Pacific economic activity. In November, the index slipped 6.9 percent to a score of 78.0.

China will see November numbers for new yuan loans, with forecasts suggesting CNY1.350 trillion - up from CNY615.2 billion in October. Outstanding loan growth is called steady, higher by an annual 11.1 percent.

Hong Kong will provide Q3 figures for industrial production; in the previous three months, industrial production rose 2.7 percent on year.

The Philippines will release October numbers for imports, exports and trade balance. In September, imports were up 14.1 percent on year and exports rose 7.0 percent for a trade deficit of $4.821 billion.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204289/

*New Zealand Food Inflation +10.7% On Year In November

New Zealand Food Inflation +10.7% On Year In November


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Dollar Rises Against Some Major Counterparts

The U.S. dollar climbed higher against most of its major counterparts on Monday, ahead of the crucial U.S. inflation data, and the Federal Reserve's policy announcement, due on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively.

The Fed is widely expected to slow the pace of interest rate hikes to 50 basis points. There are concerns about how much further the Fed will need to raise rates in order to contain inflation.

Traders are likely to pay close attention to the Fed's accompanying statement, although a lot of key data will be released before the next meeting in late January/early February.

The dollar index surged to 105.25 before dropping to 105.02, but still holds in positive territory, gaining about 0.2% over the previous close.

Against the Euro, the dollar is flat at 1.0535, after having firmed to 1.0507 earlier.

The dollar is down slightly against Pound Sterling at 1.2270.

Against the Japanese currency, the dollar has strengthened to 137.66 yen, gaining from 136.57 yen.

The dollar is trading at 0.6751 against the Aussie, up from 0.6796.

The Swiss franc is weak against the dollar at 0.9361, down from 0.9345.

The dollar is down slightly against the Loonie at C$1.3635 after crude oil prices rose sharply.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204287/

Oil Futures Settle Sharply Higher On Supply Concerns

Crude oil prices rose sharply on Monday on supply concerns following the continued closure of a pipeline carrying Canadian heavy crude to the U.S. Gulf Coast of Mexico.

West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for January ended higher by $2.15 or about 3% at $73.17 a barrel.

Brent crude futures settled at $77.99 a barrel today, down $1.89 or about 2.5% from the previous close.

It is not known as yet as to how long it will take TC Energy Corp to restart its Keystone oil pipeline that was shut after more than 14,000 barrels of oil leaked on the line last week.

Traders also looked ahead to the consumer price inflation data, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204286/

Gold Futures Settle Lower As Dollar Advances Ahead Of Fed Policy Meeting

Gold futures settled lower on Monday as the dollar climbed higher and Treasury yields rose, ahead of the Federal Reserve's two-day monetary policy meeting, which commences on Tuesday.

The Fed is widely expected to raise rates by 50 basis points on Wednesday, after lifting rates by 75 basis points in each of the last four meetings held between May and November 2022.

The dollar index, which was down at 104.67 in the European session, climbed to 105.23 later on in the day, and is currently hovering around 105.20, notably higher than the previous close of 104.81.

Gold futures for February ended lower by $18.40 or about 1% at $1,792.30 an ounce.

Silver futures for March ended down $0.314 at $23.403 an ounce, while Copper futures for March settled at $3.8005 per pound, down $0.0780 from the previous close.

Data on U.S. consumer inflation for the month of November is due on Tuesday.

Investors are also looking ahead to inflation data from the Eurozone and the U.K., as well rate decision from the European Central Bank, and the Bank of England.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204284/

Monday, 12 December 2022

Euro Dips as the US Dollar Firms Post PPI and Ahead of CPI. Will EUR/USD Break Higher?

The Euro backed away from recent peaks against the US Dollar in a busy week of data and central bank meetings, including the Federal Reserve. Where to for EUR/USD? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/aogshTu

Japan Producer Prices Rise 9.3% On Year In November

Producer prices in Japan were up 9.3 percent on year in November, the Bank of Japan said on Monday.

That exceeded expectations for an increase of 8.9 percent and up from 9.1 percent in October.

On a monthly basis, producer prices rose 0.6 percent - unchanged from the previous month and above forecasts for a gain of 0.5 percent.

Export prices fell 0.1 percent on month and added 1.1 percent on year, the bank said, while import prices dropped 2.5 percent on month and jumped 8.6 percent on year.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204226/

*Japan Producer Prices +0.6% On Month, +9.3% On Year In November

Japan Producer Prices +0.6% On Month, +9.3% On Year In November


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204225/

Japan Producer Price Data Due On Monday

Japan will on Monday release November numbers for producer prices, highlighting a light day for Asia-Pacific economic activity.

Producer prices are expected to rise 0.5 percent on month and 8.9 percent on year, easing from 0.6 percent on month and 9.1 percent on year in October.

Australia will see October job advertisement data from ANZ; in September, job ads were down 0.5 percent on month.

Finally, the markets in Thailand are closed on Monday in observance of Constitution Day and will reopen on Tuesday.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204224/

Sunday, 11 December 2022

Markets Week Ahead: Dow Jones, US Dollar, Gold, Euro, British Pound, Fed, ECB, BoE

The Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 fell as market volatility came back. Ahead, will the Fed disappoint dovish expectations? All eyes are on the US Dollar and gold. The Euro and British Pound face the ECB and BoE, respectively. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/aogshTu

Gold (XAU/USD) Forecast: Recent Gains May Come Under Pressure as US Data Takes Center Stage

Gold has struggled to find acceptance above the 200-day MA and $1800 key level. Next week’s data releases are likely to define the medium-term direction for the precious metal. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/aogshTu

Euro Weekly Forecast: Cold Weather Spurs Gas Prices Ahead of ECB Meeting

Colder weather tests Europe’s resolve as gas storage gets drawn lower, lifting EU gas prices. ECB and other major central bank’s decide on final rate hikes of 2022

Saturday, 10 December 2022

Dollar Forecast Loaded with Volatility Potential but Can It Find a Trend?

The week ahead is jam-packed with high profile US event risk – anchored by the top listing of a FOMC rate decision. The Dollar is significantly off its multi-decade highs after two months of choppy retreat, but is there enough oomph in what’s ahead to produce an outright bear trend…or perhaps spur recovery? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/3OKQzRM

XAU/USD Price Forecast: Gold Prices Dimmed by Silver’s Shine

Gold prices ended the week flat as bulls struggled to gain momentum above 1800. With silver extending recent gains, psychological resistance remains intact.

GBP Weekly Outlook: Resilient Pound Prepares for Data Heavy Week

GBP/USD trades on the precipice of a key technical pattern that could be prompted by next week’s Fed and Bank of England (BoE) rate decisions. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/3OKQzRM

Oil Futures Settle Lower, Shed More Than 11% In Week

Crude oil futures settled lower on Friday weighed down by concerns about the outlook for energy demand due to a likely global economic recession amid aggressive policy tightening by central banks.

It is feared that demand from China will likely see a drop due to the impact of Covid-19 infections, although the country has loosened some of the restrictions imposed.

West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for January ended lower by $0.44 or about 0.6% at $71.02 a barrel.

WTI crude futures shed about 11.6% in the week, the biggest weekly decline since the week ended March 25.

Brent crude futures settled at $76.10 a barrel, down slightly from the previous close.

Traders looked ahead to the monetary policy meetings of the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, due next week.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204223/

Australian Dollar Outlook: US Dollar Remains in the Driver Seat for AUD/USD

The Australian Dollar recovered from a sell-off against the US Dollar throughout the week, but it had little to do with the RBA hike. If the Fed delivers on their tightening, Will AUD/USD rally? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/3OKQzRM

Treasuries Extend Pullback As Producer Price Growth Exceeds Estimates

Following the pullback seen in the previous session, treasuries showed another notable move to the downside during trading on Friday.

Bond prices came under pressure in early trading and slid more firmly into negative territory as the day progressed. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, climbed 7.6 basis points to 3.567 percent.

The ten-year yield moved higher for the second straight session after ending Wednesday's trading at a nearly three-month closing low.

The continued weakness among treasuries came following the release of a report from the Labor Department showing U.S producer prices increased by more than expected in the month of November.

The Labor Department said its producer price index for final demand rose by 0.3 percent in November, matching upwardly revised increases in October and September.

Economists had expected producer prices to inch up by 0.1 percent compared to the 0.2 percent uptick originally reported for the previous month.

Meanwhile, the report showed the annual rate of producer price growth slowed to 7.4 percent in November from 8.1 percent in October, in line with economist estimates.

The bigger than expected monthly increase in producer prices added to recent worries about the outlook for interest rates.

While the Federal Reserve is widely expected to slow the pace of rate hikes next week, traders have recently expressed concerns about how much further the Fed will need to raise rates in order to contain inflation.

Traders largely shrugged off a report from the University of Michigan showing a decrease in consumers' inflation expectations.

The report showed one-year inflation expectations fell to a fifteen-month low of 4.6 percent in December from 4.9 percent in November, although five-year inflation expectations held at 3.0 percent.

While the Fed decision is likely to be in the spotlight next week, traders are also likely to keep an eye on reports on consumer prices, import and export prices, retail sales and industrial production.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204221/

Friday, 9 December 2022

*Malaysia October Jobless Rate Unchanged At 3.6%

Malaysia October Jobless Rate Unchanged At 3.6%


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204137/

*China Consumer Prices -0.2% On Month, +1.6% On Year In November

China Consumer Prices -0.2% On Month, +1.6% On Year In November


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204135/

U.S. Dollar Dips Ahead Of Key Inflation Data

The U.S. dollar saw some strength overnight but has moved to the downside over the course of trading on Thursday.

Currently, the U.S. dollar index is down 0.30 points or 0.3 percent at 104.80 after reaching a high of 105.43.

The greenback is trading at 136.67 yen versus the 136.62 yen it fetched at the close of New York trading on Wednesday. Against the euro, the dollar is valued at $1.0557 compared to yesterday's $1.0506.

The dollar has moved lower ahead of highly anticipated reports on producer and consumer price inflation due on Friday and next Tuesday, respectively.

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise interest rates by 50 basis points next week, but the data could impact the outlook for future rate hikes.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204129/

Gold Prices and US Dollar Turn to PPI and Sentiment Data Before the Weekend

Gold prices marked time as the US Dollar and Treasury yields diverged on Thursday. Ahead, XAU/USD and DXY face US PPI and consumer sentiment data before the weekend. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/cHgf9bV

Ten-Year Yield Rebounds From Nearly Three-Month Closing Low

After moving sharply higher over the two previous sessions, treasuries gave back some ground during trading on Thursday.

Bond prices came under pressure in early trading and remained firmly negative throughout the day. As a result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, climbed 8.3 basis points to 3.491 percent.

With the notable increase on the day, the ten-year yield rebounded after ending Wednesday's trading at a nearly three-month closing low.

The pullback by treasuries came as traders cashed in on the recent strength ahead of Friday's release of the Labor Department's report on producer price inflation in November.

Economists expect producer prices to inch up by 0.1 percent in November after rising by 0.2 percent in October, while the annual rate of growth is expected to slow to 7.4 percent from 8.0 percent.

The University of Michigan is also due to release its preliminary report on consumer sentiment in the month of December on Friday. The report includes readings on inflation expectations that could impact the outlook for interest rates.

Traders will be looking for signs of a slowdown in inflation as well as reduction in inflation expectations amid concerns the Federal Reserve will be need to push the economy into a prolonged recession in order to bring inflation down close to its 2 percent target.

The Labor Department released a report this morning showing first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits edged slightly higher in the week ended December 3rd.

The report said initial jobless claims crept up to 230,000, an increase of 4,000 from the previous week's revised level of 226,000.

Economists had expected jobless claims to inch up to 230,000 from the 225,000 originally reported for the previous week.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204128/

Crude Oil Shows Notable Downturn After Early Surge

After moving sharply higher in early trading, the price of crude oil showed a notable downturn over the course of the trading day on Thursday.

Crude for January delivery slid $0.55 or 0.8 percent to $71.46 a barrel after surging to a high of $75.44 a barrel early in the session.

With the downturn on the day, the price of crude oil extended a recent sell-off, falling to its lowest levels in eleven months.

Crude oil initially benefited from easing Chinese Covid restrictions well as news the Keystone Pipeline was shut down after an oil leak in Nebraska.

Buying interest waned over the course of the session, however, as traders remain concerns about the outlook for energy demand amid the possibility of a global recession.

"The initial spike following the Keystone Pipeline leak news was short-lived but with prices so close to the $70 level, we might not see much more weakness," said Edward Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA.

He added, "The $70 level remains key for oil as that is where the Biden administration is expected to start to consider refilling the strategic petroleum reserve."


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204127/

Thursday, 8 December 2022

*Australia Imports -0.7% On Month In October; Exports -0.9%

Australia Imports -0.7% On Month In October; Exports -0.9%


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204069/

Japanese Yen Struggles Against a US Dollar Finding Firmer Footing. Higher USD/JPY?

The Japanese Yen dipped today as GDP weighs and the US Dollar regains its ascendency with building concern for a significant slowdown next year. Where to for USD/JPY? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/vHXQwtA

Japan GDP Data Due On Thursday

Japan will on Thursday release final Q3 numbers for gross domestic product, highlighting a modest day for Asia-Pacific economic activity. GDP is expected to contract 0.3 percent on quarter and 1.1 percent on year after rising 1.1 percent on quarter and 4.6 percent on year in the three months prior.

Japan also will see October figures for current account and November data for bank lending and the eco watchers survey. The current account is expected to show a surplus of 623.4 billion yen, down from 909.3 billion yen in September. Bank lending was up 2.7 percent in October, while the eco watchers survey for current conditions had a score of 49.9 and the outlook was at 46.4.

Australia will provide October figures for imports, exports and trade balance. In September, imports were up 0.4 percent on month and exports jumped 7.0 percent for a trade surplus of A$12.444 billion.

Indonesia will see November numbers for its consumer confidence index; in October, the index score was 120.3.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204062/

*U.S. Consumer Credit Increases By $27.0 Billion In October

U.S. Consumer Credit Increases By $27.0 Billion In October


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2204059/

S&P 500 and USDJPY Abide Technical Ranges Even as Volatility and Recession Fears Grow

The economic docket is thinning out, shifting the focus from imminent volatility catalysts to anticipation for the heavy fundamental seas next week. That may or may not chasten the recent rebound in VIX, but it is likely to bolster the weight of technical barriers from the likes of the S&P 500 and USDJPY. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/vHXQwtA

Wednesday, 7 December 2022

*China Nov Imports Down 10.6% Annually, Consensus -5.0%

China Nov Imports Down 10.6% Annually, Consensus -5.0%


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2203964/

The US Dollar Gripped the Ascendency as Risks of Recession Swirl. Will USD go Higher?

The US Dollar held on to overnight gains as markets recalibrate risks of an economic slowdown in the West against a re-opening of China. Will the DXY index (USD) rally? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/nU623sI

*Australia GDP +0.6% On Quarter, +5.9% On Year In Q3

Australia GDP +0.6% On Quarter, +5.9% On Year In Q3


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2203959/

Australian Dollar Steady Despite GDP Disappointment. Where to for AUD/USD?

The Australian Dollar was little changed in the aftermath of underwhelming third quarter domestic GDP data and revisions lower of previous quarters. Will AUD/USD sink? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/nU623sI

Oil Futures Settle Sharply Lower As Demand Concerns Weigh

Crude oil prices dropped to an 11-month low on Tuesday amid concerns about the outlook for energy demand.

Oil prices fell despite a price cap on Russian oil sales as uncertainty and consequences of a continued Fed tightening weighed on the commodity.

Data showing Chinese service-sector activity to have slipped to a six-month low hurt oil prices.

West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for January ended lower by $2.68 or about 3.5% at $74.25 a barrel.

Brent crude futures were down $3.12 or about 3.75% at $79.56 a barrel a little while ago.

The European Union officially stopped importing oil directly from Russia since Monday. Meanwhile, price cap of $60 per barrel on Russian crude has also come into effect.

Markets now look ahead to weekly crude oil inventory data. The American Petroleum Institute (API) is scheduled to release its weekly oil report later today, while the Energy Information Administration (EIA) will come out with its oil stockpiles data Wednesday morning.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2203954/

Tuesday, 6 December 2022

*Australia Central Bank Raises Key Rate By 25 Bps To 3.10%

Australia Central Bank Raises Key Rate By 25 Bps To 3.10%


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2203900/

Crude Oil Ponders Course as Markets Fears the Return of the Fed. Lower WTI?

The Euro backed away from parity again after the US Dollar ascendency got back on track after the Federal Reserve got its message across loud and clear. Where to for EUR/USD? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/jgRobfT

Australian Dollar Yawned After RBA Hike by 0.25% as Expected. Where to for AUD/USD?

The Australian Dollar was initially little changed after the RBA raised the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 3.10% as the central bank goes into a 2-month hiatus. Will AUD/USD go lower? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/jgRobfT

Gold Price Sinks on ISM Services Surprise, XAU/USD Bearish Technical Warning Eyed

Gold prices sank on Monday as the US Dollar gained after an unexpectedly strong ISM Services print. XAU/USD left behind a bearish Evening Star, will that spell trouble ahead? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/jgRobfT

Dollar Rises On Strong Economic Data, Posts Strong Gains Against Major Rivals

The U.S. dollar climbed higher against its major counterparts on Monday after data showing an unexpected pickup in U.S. services sector activity in the month of November raised the possibility of more aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.

Already, Friday's data showing a stronger-than-expected growth in U.S. non-farm payrolls in the month of November had triggered speculation the central bank will continue with its aggressive rate hike path.

A report from the Institute for Supply Management this morning showed U.S. service sector activity unexpectedly grew at an accelerated rate in the in the month of November.

The ISM said its services PMI climbed to 56.5 in November from 54.4 in October, with a reading above 50 indicating growth in the sector. The increase surprised economists, who had expected the index to dip to 53.1.

A separate report released by the Commerce Department showed new orders for U.S. manufactured goods jumped by more than expected in the month of October.

The dollar index surged to 105.40, gaining more than 0.8% from the previous close.

Against the Euro, the dollar firmed to 1.0491 from 1.0543.

The dollar is trading at 1.2184 against Pound Sterling, strengthening from 1.2294.

Against the Japanese currency, the dollar is stronger, fetching 136.79 yen a unit, as against Friday's close of 134.31 yen.

Against the Aussie, the dollar is firm at 0.6694. The Swiss franc is weak against the dollar at CHF 0.9432, easing from CHF 0.9369.

The dollar is firm against the Loonie, fetching C$1.3599 a unit, compared with C$1.3473 on Friday.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2203898/

Oil Futures Settle Sharply Lower

Oil prices fell on Monday as strong U.S. service data raised the prospects for more aggressive moves by the Federal Reserve.

Oil prices rose sharply earlier in the session, riding on the decision of OPEC+ to stick their October plan to cut output by 2 million barrels per day from November through 2023.

West Texas Intermediate Crude futures for January ended lower by $3.05 or about 3.8% at $76.93 a barrel, after having climbed to $82.72 a barrel earlier in the session.

Brent crude futures were down $2.65 or 3.1% at $82.92 a barrel a little while ago.

A report from the Institute for Supply Management showed U.S. service sector activity unexpectedly grew at an accelerated rate in the in the month of November.

The ISM said its services PMI climbed to 56.5 in November from 54.4 in October, with a reading above 50 indicating growth in the sector. The increase surprised economists, who had expected the index to dip to 53.1.

A separate report released by the Commerce Department showed new orders for U.S. manufactured goods jumped by more than expected in the month of October.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2203897/

Dollar and Risk Asset Reversals Throw Off Anticipation of Major Tend Developments

There was some exceptional volatility last week and the hints of tentative trend developments – most notably a breakdown of the Dollar and attempted rally for US indices. Yet, those moves have abated to start the new week with data and technical levels playing a bigger role in market conviction. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/jgRobfT

Monday, 5 December 2022

*China Services PMI 46.7, Composite 47.0 In November - Caixin

China Services PMI 46.7, Composite 47.0 In November - Caixin


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2203813/

Euro Hits a High Note Amid China Re-opening Hopes and OPEC+. Where to for EUR/USD?

The Euro has run higher after the US Dollar collapsed again today amid a strong jobs number, OPEC+ news and China potentially re-opening. Will this drive EUR/USD higher? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/0S9iITy

*Japan Services PMI 50.3 In November; Composite PMI 48.9 - Jibun Bank

Japan Services PMI 50.3 In November; Composite PMI 48.9 - Jibun Bank


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2203808/

*Hong Kong PMI 48.7 In November - S&P Global

Hong Kong PMI 48.7 In November - S&P Global


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2203806/

*Australia Performance Of Construction Index 48.2 In November - AiG

Australia Performance Of Construction Index 48.2 In November - AiG


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Sunday, 4 December 2022

Japanese Yen Technical Outlook: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY Setups

The Japanese Yen has held firm against major counterparts as the safe-haven currency stabilizes around technical levels. USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY price action. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/0S9iITy

Markets Week Ahead: Dow Jones, Gold, US Dollar, Crude Oil, OPEC+, AUD/USD, RBA

The Dow Jones and S&P 500 have been benefiting from dovish Fed bets. Gold soared as the US Dollar sank. Ahead, crude oil prices face the OPEC+ meeting. AUD/USD awaits the RBA. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/0S9iITy

Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Looks Poised for Further Upside, BoC Rate Decision Holds the Key

The Canadian dollar looks set to continue its recent struggles. Will the Bank of Canada spring another surprise at next week’s policy meeting? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/koZpE6s

Japanese Yen Technical Outlook: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY Setups

The Japanese Yen has held firm against major counterparts as the safe-haven currency stabilizes around technical levels. USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY price action.

Euro Weekly Outlook: EUR/USD at the Dollar’s Mercy, 1.05 Still Key

The euro was unable to hold above 1.05 after NFP data bolstered the USD ahead of a relatively quiet week. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/koZpE6s

Saturday, 3 December 2022

Weekly Fundamental US Dollar Forecast: Worst Month Since 2010, Was it Overdone?

The US Dollar saw its worst month since September 2010 as the markets aggressively priced in a dovish Federal Reserve down the road. A tight US jobs report hints that USD’s move might be overdone. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/koZpE6s

Australian Dollar Outlook: US Dollar Beat-up Boosts AUD/USD

The Australian Dollar stretched higher with the US Dollar copping a flogging following not hawkish enough comments from Fed Chief Powell. Will AUD/USD make a new peak? Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/koZpE6s

Gold & Silver Technical Forecast: Both Buoyed by Weak Dollar, Silver Surges

Gold and silver have both benefitted from a weaker dollar but silver is the standout of the two metals. Gold consolidating at stern resistance, silver continues higher

British Pound (GBP) Outlook – GBP/USD Driven Higher by the US Dollar, Where Next?

Sterling is going to need to do some heavy lifting to keep GBP/USD moving higher, and next week’s economic calendar is of little help. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/irCIWuc

Friday, 2 December 2022

*Australia Home Loans -2.9% On Month In October

Australia Home Loans -2.9% On Month In October


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2203749/

*Australia Retail Sales -0.2% On Month In October

Australia Retail Sales -0.2% On Month In October


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2203748/

Japan Monetary Base Falls 6.4% On Year In November

The monetary base in Japan was down 6.4 percent on year in November, the Bank of Japan said on Friday - coming in at 616.820 trillion yen.

That follows the 6.9 percent annual contraction in October.

Banknotes in Circulation were up 2.9 percent on year, while coins in circulation fell 3.8 percent. Current account balances tumbled 8.5 percent on year, including a 9.7 percent drop in reserve balances.

The seasonally adjusted monetary base was up 17.0 percent after tumbling 33.0 percent in the previous month.


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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2203747/

*New Zealand Terms Of Trade -3.4% On Quarter In Q3

New Zealand Terms Of Trade -3.4% On Quarter In Q3


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Dollar Slips Against Major Rivals As Powell's Dovish Comments Weigh

The U.S. dollar lost ground against its major counterparts on Thursday, weighed down by Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments signaling a slower pace of rate hikes from this month.

The Fed is widely expected to hike interest rate by 50 basis points when it meets on December 13-14.

In his speech at a Brookings Institution event on Wednesday, Powell said the time for moderating the pace of interest rate increases may come as soon as at the December meeting.

"Given our progress in tightening policy, the timing of that moderation is far less significant than the questions of how much further we will need to raise rates to control inflation, and the length of time it will be necessary to hold policy at a restrictive level," he said.

In U.S. economic releases, a report from the Institute for Supply Management showed the Manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.0 in November from 50.2 in October, with a reading below 50 indicating a contraction.

Meanwhile, a separate report released by the Labor Department showed first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits pulled back by more than expected in the week ended November 26th, falling to 225,000, a decrease of 16,000 from the previous week's revised level of 241,000.

A report from the Commerce Department showed personal income climbed by 0.7% in October after rising by 0.4%. Personal spending advanced by 0.8% in October after climbing by 0.6% in September.

A reading on inflation said to be preferred by the Fed showed core consumer prices, which exclude food and energy prices, edged up by 0.2% in October after climbing by 0.5% in September. Economists had expected prices to rise by 0.3%.

The annual rate of core consumer price growth also slowed to 5% in October from 5.2% in September, coming in line with estimates.

The dollar index fell to 104.66, losing more than 1.2%.

Against the Euro, the dollar weakened to 1.0525 from 1.0410.

The dollar is trading at 1.2246 against Pound Sterling, sliding from 1.2058.

Against the Japanese currency, the dollar dropped nearly 2%, fetching 135.35 yen a unit, compared with 138.05 yen on Wednesday.

The dollar is weak against the Aussie with the AUD/USD trading at 0.6811.

Against Swiss franc, the dollar slipped, fetching CHF 0.9368, as against CHF 0.9453 Wednesday evening.

The dollar is up slightly against the Loonie at C$1.3435.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2203740/

Treasuries Soar Amid Optimism About Slower Rate Hikes

Following the rally seen going into the close of the previous session, treasuries showed another strong move to the upside during trading on Thursday.

Bond prices moved sharply higher in early trading and saw continued strength as the day progressed. As a result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, plunged 17.4 basis points to 3.529 percent.

The ten-year yield added to 4.5 basis point drop seen on Wednesday, ending the session at its lowest closing level in well over two months.

Treasuries continued to benefit from a positive reaction to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks providing further evidence the central bank plans to slow the pace of interest rate hikes as early as next month.

Adding to the optimism about slower rate hikes, a reading on inflation said to be preferred by the Fed showed core consumer prices rose by less than expected in October.

Core consumer prices, which exclude food and energy prices, edged up by 0.2 percent in October after climbing by 0.5 percent in September. Economists had expected prices to rise by 0.3 percent.

The annual rate of core consumer price growth also slowed to 5.0 percent in October from 5.2 percent in September, coming in line with estimates.

The inflation data was included as part of a Commerce Department report showing personal income increased by more than expected in the month of October.

The report said personal income climbed by 0.7 percent in October after rising by 0.4 percent in September. Economists had expected another 0.4 percent increase.

The Commerce Department said personal spending also advanced by 0.8 percent in October after climbing by 0.6 percent in September. The increase matched economist estimates.

A separate report released by the Labor Department showed first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits pulled back by more than expected in the week ended November 26th.

The report said initial jobless claims fell to 225,000, a decrease of 16,000 from the previous week's revised level of 241,000.

Economists had expected jobless claims to edge down to 235,000 from the 240,000 originally reported for the previous week.

Meanwhile, the Institute for Supply Management released a report showing manufacturing activity contracted for the first time in over two years in the month of November.

The ISM said its manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.0 in November from 50.2 in October, with a reading below 50 indicating a contraction. Economists had expected the index to edge down to 49.8.

With the slightly bigger than expected decrease, the manufacturing PMI fell to its lowest level since hitting 43.5 in May of 2020.

Trading on Friday is likely to be impacted by reaction to the Labor Department's closely watched monthly employment report for November.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2203739/