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Saturday, 30 April 2022
US Dollar Fundamental Forecast: Rally May Fade on Fed Balance Sheet Announcement
US Dollar Fundamental Forecast: Rally May Fade on Fed Balance Sheet Announcement
Australian Dollar Forecast: Will the RBA Hike? If So, AUD/USD Still Faces Roadblocks
Australian Dollar Forecast: Will the RBA Hike? If So, AUD/USD Still Faces Roadblocks
Dollar Retreats Slightly From Recent High, Loses Ground Against Some Counterparts
The U.S. dollar turned a bit weak against some of its major counterparts on Friday, and dropped down from a near 20-year high touched a day earlier, due largely to some profit taking.
The dollar had been climbing higher in recent sessions, hitting new highs in the process, amid rising prospects of sharper interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in the coming months.
In today's economic news, revised data from the University of Michigan showed consumer sentiment in the U.S. improved slightly less than initially estimated in the month of April.
The report showed the consumer sentiment index for April was downwardly revised to 65.2 from the preliminary reading of 65.7. Nonetheless, the index is still sharply higher than the final March reading of 59.4.
A report released by MNI Indicators showed its Chicago business barometer slumped to 56.4 in April after jumping to 62.9 in March, although a reading above 50 still indicates growth.
The pullback by the Chicago business barometer came as the new orders index and the production index slid to their lowest levels since the summer of 2020.
The new orders index plunged to 51.1 in April from 61.9 in March, while the production index tumbled to 50.9 in April from 60.0 in March.
A report released by the Commerce Department showed U.S. personal income increased by 0.5% in March, after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.7% in February. Economists had expected personal income to rise by 0.4% compared to the 0.5% increase originally reported for the previous month.
The report also showed personal spending jumped by 1.1% in March after advancing by an upwardly revised 0.6% in February. Economists had expected personal spending to increase by 0.7% compared to the 0.2% uptick originally reported for the previous month.
The dollar index, which rose to 103.93 on Thursday and settled at 103.62, opened around the previous closing level today and dropped to a low of 102.82 before recovering to 103.22.
Against the Euro, the dollar traded at $1.0548, easing from $1.0500.
The dollar was down nearly 1% against Pound Sterling, having weakened to $1.2576 from $1.2458.
Against the Japanese currency, the dollar weakened to 129.85 yen from 130.82.
Against the Aussie, the dollar traded at 0.7062, gaining from 0.7098.
The Swiss franc dropped to 0.9736 from 0.9720, while the Loonie weakened to 1.2859 from 1.2809. Loonie firmed after data showed the Canadian economy expanded at the fastest pace since March 2021 in February.
Data from Statistics Canada showed that real gross domestic product climbed by 1.1% in February, following a 0.2% increase in January. Economists had forecast a 0.8% growth.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2193183/
Oil Snaps 3-day Winning Streak
Crude oil futures pared early gains and drifted lower on Friday, snapping a three-day winning streak, as worries about outlook for energy demand weighed on prices.
Oil prices surged earlier in the session as worries about supply outweighed concerns over outlook for oil demand.
The sanctions on Russia is expected to reduce the supplies of crude from Russia far more than the reduction in demand from China, where several places are under coronvirus curbs.
West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for June ended lower by $0.67 or about 0.6% at $104.69 a barrel. WTI crude futures gained about 3.3% in the week.
Brent crude futures were down $0.72 or 0.67% at $106.60 a barrel.
A report released by Baker Hughes this afternoon showed Oil rigs count in the U.S. rose by 3 to 552 in the week. Natural gas rigs count remains unchanged at 144, while total rigs count in the country rose by 3 to 698.
Markets are looking ahead to the results of the OPEC+ meeting next week to assess the planned increase in output in June, by the group of nations.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2193182/
Treasuries Close Moderately Lower Ahead Of Next Week's Fed Meeting
Treasuries saw considerable volatility in morning trading on Friday before spending the afternoon in negative territory.
Bond prices regained some ground going into the close but remained in the red. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, rose by 2.3 basis points to 2.887 percent.
The lower close by treasuries may have reflected concerns about next week's Federal Reserve meeting, with the Fed widely expected to raise interest rates by 50 basis points.
Traders are likely to pay close attention to the Fed's accompanying statement for clues about aggressive the central bank plans to tighten monetary policy going forward.
On the U.S. economic front, a report released by the Commerce Department showed U.S. personal income increased by slightly more than expected in the month of March, while U.S. personal spending jumped by much more than anticipated.
The Commerce Department said personal income rose by 0.5 percent in March after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.7 percent in February.
Economists had expected personal income to rise by 0.4 percent compared to the 0.5 percent increase originally reported for the previous month.
The report also showed personal spending jumped by 1.1 percent in March after advancing by an upwardly revised 0.6 percent in February.
Personal spending was expected to increase by 0.7 percent compared to the 0.2 percent uptick originally reported for the previous month.
Meanwhile, a reading on inflation said to be preferred by the Fed showed the annual rate of core consumer price growth slowed to 5.2 percent in March from 5.3 percent in February.
While the Fed meeting is likely to be in the spotlight next week, traders are also likely to keep an eye on the monthly jobs report.
Reports on manufacturing and service sector activity, factory orders, the U.S. trade deficit and labor productivity may also attract some attention
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2193181/
Gold Futures Settle Higher As Dollar Turns Weak
Gold futures settled higher on Friday as the dollar turned weak against its major counterparts, weighed down by data showing a surprise contraction in the American economy in the first quarter.
The dollar had been moving up steadily over the past few sessions amid expectations of aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to combat inflation.
The dollar index, which rose to a near 20-year high to $103.93 on Thursday, dropped to 102.82 today, losing about 0.8%.
Gold futures for June ended higher by $20.40 or about 1.1% at $1,911.70 an ounce, off the session's high of $1,921.30.
Silver futures for July ended down by $0.096 at $23.085 an ounce, while Copper futures for July settled at $4.4085 per pound, down $0.0250 from the previous close.
A report released by the Commerce Department showed U.S. personal income increased by slightly more than expected in the month of March, rising by 0.5% in the month, after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.7% in February.
Economists had expected personal income to rise by 0.4% compared to the 0.5% increase originally reported for the previous month.
The report also showed personal spending jumped by 1.1% in March after advancing by an upwardly revised 0.6% in February.
Personal spending was expected to increase by 0.7% compared to the 0.2% uptick originally reported for the previous month.
Meanwhile, a reading on inflation said to be preferred by the Fed showed the annual rate of core consumer price growth slowed to 5.2% in March from 5.3% in February.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2193180/
Friday, 29 April 2022
Gold Prices Rise, but is There Enough Momentum for XAU/USD to Follow Through?
Oil Futures Settle Higher For 3rd Straight Session
Crude oil prices climbed higher on Thursday amid concerns over supply due to the possible impact of sanctions on Russia's crude oil production.
Meanwhile, Germany, which was against a ban on Russian oil, has dropped its opposition to a European Union ban on purchases of Russian oil provided it is given time to find alternative sources of supply.
Crude oil prices struggled for support earlier in the session as coronavirus restrictions in China and the geopolitical crisis in Europe raised concerns about outlook for energy demand.
Data released by U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday that showed a drop in gasoline and distillate stockpiles last week supported oil prices.
The EIA data showed crude inventories rose by 700,000 barrels in the week ended April 22. Gasoline inventories dropped by 1.6 million barrels in the week, significantly more than an expected drop of about 100,000 barrels.
Distillate stockpiles fell 1.4 million barrels last week, the EIA data showed.
West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for June ended higher by $3.34 or about 3.3% at $105.36 a barrel.
Brent crude futures were up $2.52 or 2.4% at $107.47 a barrel a little while ago.
Markets are keenly awaiting the outcome of the meeting of OPEC+ countries scheduled next week, to discuss the increase in output in the month of June.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2193073/
Treasuries Extend Pullback Despite Unexpected Decrease In GDP
Treasuries moved to the downside during trading on Thursday, extending the pullback seen in the previous session.
Bond prices moved lower early in the session and remained firmly negative throughout the day. As a result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, climbed 4.5 basis points to 2.863 percent.
The continued weakness among treasuries came as traders remained worried about the outlook for interest rates even though the Commerce Department released a report showing U.S. economic activity unexpectedly contracted in the first quarter of 2022.
The report said real gross domestic product declined by 1.4 percent in the first quarter after spiking by 6.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. The pullback surprised economists, who had expected GDP to increase by 1.1 percent.
The Commerce Department said the unexpected drop in GDP reflected decreases in private inventory investment, exports, and government spending along with an increase in imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP
On the other hand, the report showed increases in consumer spending, non-residential fixed investment and residential fixed investment.
A separate report from the Labor Department showed first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits edged slightly lower in the week ended April 23rd.
Treasuries remained firmly negative even as the Treasury Department revealed this month's auction of $44 billion worth of seven-year notes attracted above average demand.
The seven-year note auction drew a high yield of 2.908 percent and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.41, while the ten previous seven-year note auctions had an average bid-to-cover ratio of 2.32.
The bid-to-cover ratio is a measure of demand that indicates the amount of bids for each dollar worth of securities being sold.
Looking ahead, trading on Friday may be impacted by reaction to reports on personal income and spending and consumer sentiment.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2193072/
Seven-Year Note Auction Attracts Above Average Demand
Finishing off this week's series of announcement of the results of its long-term securities auctions, the Treasury Department on Thursday revealed this month's auction of $44 billion worth of seven-year notes attracted above average demand.
The seven-year note auction drew a high yield of 2.908 percent and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.41.
Last month, the Treasury sold $47 billion worth of seven-year notes, drawing a high yield of 2.499 percent and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.44.
The bid-to-cover ratio is a measure of demand that indicates the amount of bids for each dollar worth of securities being sold.
The ten previous seven-year note auctions had an average bid-to-cover ratio of 2.32.
Earlier this week, the Treasury revealed this month's two-year note auction attracted well above average demand, while this month's five-year note auction attracted average demand.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2193071/
USD/JPY Rally Pushes RSI Back into Overbought Territory
Crude Oil Price Forecast Q2 2022: Robust Demand Still Met with Limited Supply
Gold Futures Settle Slightly Up As Data Shows Surprise Contraction In GDP
Gold prices moved in a tight band on Thursday before settling slightly up even as the dollar continued its move up north amid rising prospects of sharper interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
Gold prices climbed higher after data showed a surprise contraction in the U.S. economy in the first quarter of 2022.
The dollar index spurted to 103.93 before easing to 103.63 on GDP data, but remained still up with a strong gain of 0.65%.
Gold futures for June ended higher by $2.60 or about 0.1% at $1,891.30 an ounce.
Silver futures for July ended down by $0.324 at $23.181 an ounce, while Copper futures for July settled at $4.4335 per pound, down $0.0415 from the previous close.
A report released by the Commerce Department showed U.S. economic activity unexpectedly contracted in the first quarter of 2022, with gross domestic product declining by 1.4%, after spiking by 6.9% in the fourth quarter of 2021.
The pullback surprised economists, who had expected GDP to increase by 1.1%.
The Commerce Department said the unexpected drop in GDP reflected decreases in private inventory investment, exports, and government spending along with an increase in imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP.
According to the report released by the Labor Department, first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits edged slightly lower in the week ended April 23rd, dipping to 180,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level of 185,000.
Economists had expected jobless claims to slip to 180,000 from the 184,000 originally reported for the previous week.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2193070/
Thursday, 28 April 2022
*New Zealand Trade Deficit NZ$392 Million In March
New Zealand Trade Deficit NZ$392 Million In March
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192983/
Japanese Yen Falls, USD/JPY Soars as Bank of Japan Commits to Defending 10Y JGB Target
Japan Rate Decision On Tap For Thursday
The Bank of Japan will wrap up its monetary policy meeting on Thursday and then release its quarterly report and its decision on interest rates, highlighting a busy day in Asia-Pacific economic activity. The BoJ is widely expected to keep its benchmark lending rate steady at -0.10 percent.
Japan also will provide March numbers for industrial production, retail sales and housing starts. In February, industrial output was up 2.0 percent on month and 0.5 percent on year, while retail sales slipped 0.8 percent both on month and on year and housing starts jumped an annual 6.3 percent.
Singapore will see preliminary Q1 figures for unemployment; in the three months prior, the jobless rate was 2.4 percent.
New Zealand will release March figures for imports, exports and trade balance. In February, Imports were worth NZ$5.88 billion and exports were at NZ$5.49 billion for a trade deficit of NZ$385 million.
Thailand will provide March numbers for industrial production, with forecasts suggesting an increase of 2.15 percent - slowing from 2.75 percent in February.
Hong Kong will see March data for imports, exports and trade balance. In February, imports were up 6.2 percent on year and exports rose an annual 0.9 percent for a trade deficit of HKD32.1 billion.
Taiwan will release an advance estimate for Q1 gross domestic product, with forecasts calling for an annual expansion of 2.9 percent - slowing from 4.86 percent in the three months prior.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192982/
Dollar Stays Firm Against Peers On Rate Hike Bets
The U.S. dollar continued to climb higher on Wednesday amid bets the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates by 50 basis points in May and the following months as well, to rein in inflation.
Worries about growth due to the impact of the ongoing war in Ukraine and the coronavirus restrictions in China also appear to be prompting traders to seek the safe-haven currency.
In U.S. economic news, pending home sales in the U.S. decreased for the fifth straight month in March, according to a report released by the National Association of Realtors.
NAR said its pending home sales slumped by 1.2% to 103.7 in March after plunging by 4% to a revised 105.0 in February. Economists had expected pending home sales to tumble by 1.6%.
The dollar index surged to 103.28, a fresh 25-month high, before easing a bit and paring some gains. Still, at 102.98, the index was up as much as 0.66% from the previous close.
Against the Euro, the dollar firmed to $1.0560 from around $1.0640.
The dollar strengthened to $1.2544 against Pound Sterling from $1.2580. The dollar fetched 128.42 yen a unit, up from 127.25 yen Tuesday evening.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192981/
South Korea Business Confidence Improves In April - BoK
Business confidence in South Korea showed an uptick in April, the Bank of Korea said on Thursday in its latest Business Survey Index, which climbed to a score of 87 from 84 in March.
In the non-manufacturing sector, the BSI on business conditions for April was 85, up 4 points from the previous month, and the outlook for the following month also rose by 3 points to 85.
The Economic Sentiment Index (ESI) - a composite of the BSI and the CSI (Consumer Survey Index) - for April was 105.7, up 2.3 points from March.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192980/
*South Korea Business Confidence Index 87 In April Vs. 84 In March - BoK
South Korea Business Confidence Index 87 In April Vs. 84 In March - BoK
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192979/
Oil Futures Settle Modestly Higher After Inventory Data
Crude oil prices climbed higher on Wednesday, lifted by data showing a notable drop in gasoline and distillate stockpiles last week.
Oil prices also found support from news that Russian gas company Gazrom has halted gas supplies to Poland and Bulgaria for rejecting its demand to pay in Russian rubles.
However, concerns about outlook for demand due to the lockdown in China limited oil's uptick.
West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for June ended higher by $0.32 or about 0.3% at $102.02 a barrel.
Brent crude futures were up $0.14 or 0.13% at $104.75 a barrel a little while ago.
Data released by U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed crude inventories rose by 700,000 barrels in the week ended April 22. Gasoline inventories dropped by 1.6 million barrels in the week, significantly more than an expected drop of about 100,000 barrels.
Distillate stockpiles fell 1.4 million barrels last week, the EIA data showed.
Data released from The American Petroleum Institute on Tuesday showed stocks of crude oil in the U.S. surged to 4.8 million barrels in the week ended April 22 versus a 4.5-million-barrel slump in the previous week.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192978/
Crude Oil Price Reversal Emerges Ahead of April Low
Gold Futures Settle Lower As Dollar Climbs Higher
Gold prices fell on Wednesday as the dollar climbed higher amid expectations of aggressive policy tightening by the Federal Reserve.
A weak Euro following the Russian gas-halt to Poland Bulgaria contributed as well to the dollar's sharp uptick.
The dollar index scaled a fresh 25-month high, rising to 103.28 in late morning trades today, before paring some gains and dropping to 102.85, still up with a fairly solid gain of 0.54%.
Gold futures for June ended down by $15.40 or about 0.8% at $1,888.70 an ounce, after having snapped a five-day losing streak on Tuesday.
Silver futures for July ended lower by $0.085 at $23.505 an ounce, while Copper futures for July settled at $4.4750 per pound, up $0.0110 from the previous close.
In U.S. economic news, pending home sales in the U.S. decreased for the fifth straight month in March, according to a report released by the National Association of Realtors.
NAR said its pending home sales slumped by 1.2% to 103.7 in March after plunging by 4% to a revised 105.0 in February. Economists had expected pending home sales to tumble by 1.6%.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192977/
Wednesday, 27 April 2022
*South Korea Consumer Confidence Index 103.8 In April Vs. 103.2 In March - BoK
South Korea Consumer Confidence Index 103.8 In April Vs. 103.2 In March - BoK
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192936/
Australian Dollar Soars as CPI Shoots Past Expectation Ahead of RBA Next Week.
Gold Price Forecast: XAU Rebound is Likely a Fake-out as US Dollar, Fed Pressures Mount
Dollar Marches On, Scores Strong Gains Over Major Rivals
The U.S. dollar traded firm against its major counterparts on Tuesday as concerns about economic slowdown in China and rising expectations about sharper rate hikes from the Federal Reserve pushed up the demand for the currency.
Worries about rising coronavirus cases in China contributed as well to dollar's uptick.
A report released by the Commerce Department showed new orders for U.S. manufactured durable goods rebounded in the month of March, climbing by 0.8% in the month, after tumbling by a revised 1.7% in February.
Economists had expected durable goods orders to jump by 1% compared to the 2.2% slump originally reported for the previous month.
A separate report released by the Commerce Department showed new home sales plunged by 8.6% to an annual rate of 763,000 from an upwardly revised rate of 835,000 in February. Economists had expected new home sales to decrease by 0.9% to a rate of 765,000 from the 772,000 originally reported for the previous month.
The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index edged down to 107.3 in April from an upwardly revised 107.6 in March. Economists had expected the consumer confidence index to dip to 106.8 from the 107.2 originally reported for the previous month.
The dollar index climbed to a fresh 25-month high at 102.36, gaining about 0.6%.
Against the Euro, the dollar is trading at $1.0638, firming from $1.0714.
The dollar is trading at $1.2580 against Pound Sterling, strengthening from $1.2741.
The Japanese currency is stronger against the dollar, rallying to 127.34, gaining more than 0.6% from the previous close.
Against the Aussie, the dollar is at 0.7130, firming from 0.7179.
The Swiss franc is trading at 0.9625 a dollar, weakening from 0.9597, while the Loonie has dropped nearly 0.7% to $1.2821.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192935/
Crude Oil Futures Settle Sharply Higher Ahead Of Inventory Data
Crude oil prices climbed higher on Tuesday as concerns about outlook for energy demand eased a bit after the Chinese central bank announced that it would support small businesses and industries affected by the pandemic.
Short-covering after recent sharp losses contributed as well to the rise in oil prices.
The PBOC will step up the prudent monetary policy's support to the real economy, especially for industries and small businesses hit hard by the pandemic," the People's Bank of China said in a statement on Tuesday. The central bank said it will promote healthy and stable development of the financial markets and provide a good monetary and financial environment. It reiterated it will keep liquidity reasonably ample.
The bank had decided on Monday to cut the amount of money that banks need to have in reserve for their foreign currency holdings, an attempt to help limit the drop in the yuan.
West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for June ended higher by $3.16 or about 3.2% at $101.70 a barrel.
Brent crude futures moved up by about 2.6% to $104.99 a barrel today. Both WTI and Brent futures had tumbled by about 4% on the previous session.
Markets now look ahead to weekly oil reports from the American Petroleum Institute (API) and U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). The API's report is due later today, while EIA is scheduled to release its inventory data Wednesday morning.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192934/
Treasuries See Further Upside Amid Sell-Off On Wall Street
Treasuries showed a notable move to the upside during trading on Tuesday, extending the rebound seen over the two previous sessions.
Bond prices gave back ground in afternoon trading after an early advance but managed to remain firmly positive. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, fell by 5.4 basis points 2.772 percent.
Treasuries benefitted from their appeal as a safe haven, as stocks on Wall Street pulled back sharply following the rebound seen on Monday.
n the U.S. economic front, a report released by the Commerce Department showed new orders for U.S. manufactured durable goods rebounded in the month of March.
The report showed durable goods orders climbed by 0.8 percent in March after tumbling by a revised 1.7 percent in February.
Economists had expected durable goods orders to jump by 1.0 percent compared to the 2.2 percent slump originally reported for the previous month.
Excluding orders for transportation equipment, durable goods orders surged by 1.1 percent in March after falling by 0.5 percent in February. Ex-transportation orders were expected to increase by 0.6 percent.
A separate report released by the Commerce Department on Tuesday showed a steep drop in U.S. new home sales in the month of March.
The Commerce Department said new home sales plunged by 8.6 percent to an annual rate of 763,000 from an upwardly revised rate of 835,000 in February.
Economists had expected new home sales to decrease by 0.9 percent to a rate of 765,000 from the 772,000 originally reported for the previous month.
The Conference Board also released a report showing a modest decrease in U.S. consumer confidence in the month of April.
The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index edged down to 107.3 in April from an upwardly revised 107.6 in March.
Economists had expected the consumer confidence index to dip to 106.8 from the 107.2 originally reported for the previous month.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192933/
EUR/USD Rate Clears 2020 Low Ahead of Euro Area Inflation Report
Gold Futures Snap 5-session Losing Streak
Gold futures climbed higher on Tuesday, rebounding a bit after five successive days of losses, as global stocks tumbled, triggering some interest in the safe-haven metal.
Concerns about inflation and growth, and a surge in coronavirus cases in China weighed on stocks.
The dollar's strength limited gold's uptick. The dollar index climbed to 102.30, gaining more than 0.5%, amid expectations of a series of sharper rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
Gold futures for June moved higher by $8.10 to $1,904.10 an ounce.
Silver futures for May drifted down $0.126 to $23.544 an ounce, while Copper futures for May eased to $4.4410 per pound, down $0.0080 from the previous close.
On the Covid-19 front, Beijing has rolled out mass Covid testing for nearly 20 million residents in most of the city, raising fears about a potential wider lockdown that could crimp growth and earnings.
The Chinese mainland reported 1,908 new locally transmitted confirmed COVID-19 cases and 52 more deaths in the past 24 hours.
On the U.S. economic front, a report released by the Commerce Department showed new orders for U.S. manufactured durable goods rebounded in the month of March, climbing by 0.8% in the month, after tumbling by a revised 1.7% in February.
Economists had expected durable goods orders to jump by 1% compared to the 2.2% slump originally reported for the previous month.
A separate report released by the Commerce Department showed new home sales plunged by 8.6% to an annual rate of 763,000 from an upwardly revised rate of 835,000 in February. Economists had expected new home sales to decrease by 0.9% to a rate of 765,000 from the 772,000 originally reported for the previous month.
The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index edged down to 107.3 in April from an upwardly revised 107.6 in March. Economists had expected the consumer confidence index to dip to 106.8 from the 107.2 originally reported for the previous month.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192932/
Tuesday, 26 April 2022
Dollar Stays Firm Against Peers
The U.S. dollar firmed against its peers on Monday as rising prospects of the central bank hiking interest rates by 50 basis points in May and increasing possibility of further hikes in subsequent months pushed up the demand for the currency.
Worries about a surge in coronavirus cases in China and likelihood of fresh lockdown measures in Beijing contributed as well for the dollar's uptick.
The dollar index climbed to a fresh 25-month high of 101.86 in the New York session. At 101.73, the index was up 0.5% from the previous close.
Against the Euro, the dollar is trading at $1.0713, gaining more than 0.8%.
The dollar is at $1.2743 against Pound Sterling, firming from $1.2838.
The dollar is trading at 128.05 yen, weakening from 128.55 yen. Against the Aussie, the dollar traded at 0.7179, gaining from 0.7243.
The Swiss franc weakened to 0.9597 a dollar from 0.9572. The Loonie eased to 1.2737 a dollar as oil prices fell on weak outlook for energy demand.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192896/
Treasuries Pull Back Off Best Levels But Close In Positive Territory
After ending the previous session modestly higher, treasuries saw some further upside during the trading day on Monday.
Bond prices gave back ground after an early rally but still closed in positive territory. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, fell by 8 basis points to 2.826 percent after hitting a low of 2.760 percent.
With the decrease on the day, the ten-year yield continued to give back ground after ending last Thursday's trading at its highest closing level since December 2018.
Treasuries initially benefited from their appeal as a safe haven amid weakness in the global stock markets.
Buying interest waned over the course of the session, however, as stocks on Wall Street showed a notable turnaround after seeing an initial sell-off.
Trading activity remained somewhat subdued, with a lack of major U.S. economic data keeping some traders on the sidelines.
Reports on durable goods orders, consumer confidence, new home sales, first quarter GDP and personal income and spending are likely to attract attention in the coming days.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192895/
Oil Futures Plunge Sharply, Settle At 2-week Low
Crude oil prices fell sharply on Monday, pushing the most active crude futures contract to a 2-week closing low, as a resurgence in Covid cases in China raised concerns about energy demand.
A strong U.S. dollar amid rising prospects of a series of sharp interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve weighed as well on crude oil prices.
West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for June ended down by $3.53 or about 3.5% at $98.54 a barrel.
Brent crude futures were down $3.47 or 3.27% at $102.68 a barrel a little while ago.
Covid cases are on the rise in Shanghai with the city reporting over 19,000 new infections in the last 24 hours. Also, reports indicate a possibility of Beijing imposing fresh lockdown measures in several areas to curb the spread of the virus.
In Beijing, many people have reportedly begun stockpiling food, fearing a lockdown after the emergence of a few cases of COVID-19.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192894/
Gold Futures Fall For 5th Straight Session, Settle At 2-month Low
Gold prices drifted lower on Monday, extending losses to a fifth straight session, as a stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields weighed on the yellow metal.
Rising prospects of the Federal Reserve hiking interest rates by 50 basis points after its meeting in May and increasing possibility of further hikes in subsequent months to combat soaring inflation buoyed up the dollar.
The dollar index climbed to 101.86, a fresh 25-month high before easing slightly to 101.73, still up by a solid 51% from the previous close.
Gold futures for June ended lower by $38.30 or about 2% at $1,896.00 an ounce, recovering from a low of $1,891.80. Gold futures recorded their lowest settlement since February 25.
Silver futures for May ended down by $0.589 at $23.670 an ounce, while Copper futures for May settled at $4.4490 per pound, down $0.1325 from the previous close.
A sell-off in global stock markets amid reports about a spike in Covid cases in China's capital city of Beijing and possibility of the Chinese government extending its Covid restrictions to Beijing helped limit gold's downside.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192893/
Monday, 25 April 2022
*Japan Mar Services Producer Price Index Up 1.3% On Year Vs. 1.1% In Feb, Consensus 1.2%
Japan Mar Services Producer Price Index Up 1.3% On Year Vs. 1.1% In Feb, Consensus 1.2%
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192856/
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Japan Leading Index Data Due On Monday
Japan will on Monday see final February results for its leading and coincident indexes, highlighting a modest day for Asia-Pacific economic activity. In January, the leading index had a score of 102.5 and the coincident was at 95.6.
Singapore will release March numbers for consumer prices, with forecasts suggesting an increase of 1 percent on month and 4.7 percent on year after climbing 0.9 percent on month and 4.3 percent on year in February. Core CPI is tipped to rise 2.4 percent on year, up from 2.2 percent in the previous month.
Taiwan will provide March data for retail sales and industrial production; in February, sales were up 0.2 percent on year and output rose an annual 10.01 percent.
Finally, the markets in Australia and New Zealand are closed on Monday for ANZAC Day and will re-open on Tuesday.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192855/
Forex Vs Stocks: Top Differences & How to Trade Them
Sunday, 24 April 2022
Weekly Fundamental US Dollar Forecast: Up, Up, and Away
Markets Week Ahead: Dow Jones, EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, GBP/USD, EU CPI, BOJ, US GDP
Markets Week Ahead: Dow Jones, EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, GBP/USD, EU CPI, BOJ, US GDP
S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Weekly Forecasts – Bond Yields Hammer Equity Sentiment
S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Weekly Forecasts – Bond Yields Hammer Equity Sentiment
Crude Oil Forecast: Stronger US Dollar, Weaker S&P 500 Key Risks in the Week Ahead
Crude Oil Forecast: Stronger US Dollar, Weaker S&P 500 Key Risks in the Week Ahead
EUR/USD Vulnerable: Policy Divergence and Lagarde’s Unusual Request
EUR/USD Vulnerable: Policy Divergence and Lagarde’s Unusual Request
Saturday, 23 April 2022
British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD at Risk of Further Losses as the UK Economy Weakens
British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD at Risk of Further Losses as the UK Economy Weakens
Treasuries Finish Lackluster Session Modestly Higher
Treasuries showed a lack of direction over the course of the trading session on Friday before ending the day modestly higher.
Bond prices fluctuated as the day progressed but managed to close in positive territory. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, edged down by 1.1 basis points to 2.906 percent.
With the modest decrease on the day, the ten-year yield gave back ground after ending the previous session at its highest closing level since December 2018.
The lackluster performance by treasuries came amid ongoing concerns about the Federal Reserve aggressively tightening monetary policy.
In comments on Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said he saw merit in "front-end loading" policy moves and indicated a 50 basis point rate hike would be on the table at the central bank's next meeting in early May.
CME Group's FedWatch Tool currently indicates a 50 basis point rate hike at the May meeting is a near certainty.
Treasuries did not extend their recent downward trend, however, with a sell-off on Wall Street potentially increasing the safe haven appeal of bonds.
Reports on durable goods orders, new home sales, first quarter GDP and personal income and spending may attract attention next week as traders prepare for the next Fed meeting in early May.
Bond traders are also likely to keep an eye on the results of the Treasury Department's auctions of two-year, five-year and seven-year notes.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192853/
Oil Futures Settle Lower As Demand Concerns Weigh After Shanghai Extends Lockdown
Crude oil futures settled lower on Friday as fears over falling energy demand amid an extension of the Covid-19 lockdown in Shanghai, and concerns about economic slowdown hurt oil prices.
The dollar's surge amid Fed's aggressive stance on tightening monetary policy weighed as well on oil prices.
West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for June ended down by $1.72 or about 1.7% at $102.07 a barrel.
Brent crude futures were down $2.17 or 2% at $106.16 a barrel a little while ago.
Shanghai has extended the Covid-19 lockdown to April 26 as the eastern metropolis of 26 million reported 11 more deaths on Thursday, taking the toll in the current outbreak to 36.
Growth worries also returned to the fore after Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted at more aggressive rate hikes to cool inflation.
During a seminar sponsored by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Thursday, Powell said he saw merit in "front-end loading" policy moves, including a 50 basis point rate hike at the May FOMC meeting.
The downward revision in global growth forecast by IMF and the ongoing war in Ukraine hurt oil prices.
According to a report from Baker Hughes, the U.S. oil rig count rose one to 549 this week, the highest level since April 2020.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192852/
Gold Futures Settle Lower For 4th Straight Session
Gold prices drifted lower on Friday, sliding for a fourth successive session, as the dollar climbed higher and yields on U.S. Treasury notes rose amid rising prospects of sharper interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in the near term.
Dollar has surged higher, buoyed by hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. During a seminar sponsored by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Thursday, Powell suggested the possibility of an aggressive tightening of monetary policy to counter high inflation.
The Fed chief said that the central bank is prepared to raise rates "a little more quickly" to control inflationary pressures and that a half-point rate hike would be on the table when the Fed meets on May 3 and 4.
CME Group's FedWatch Tool currently indicates a 50 basis point rate hike at the May meeting is a near certainty.
The dollar index rose to 101.33, the highest levels since May 2020, and despite easing a bit, remains firm at 101.17, up by about 0.6% from the previous close.
Gold futures for June ended lower by $13.90 or about 0.7% at $1,934.30 an ounce. Gold futures shed about 2.1% in the week.
Silver futures for May ended down by $0.362 at $24.259 an ounce, while Copper futures for May settled at $4.5815 per pound, down $0.1225 from the previous close.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192851/
Friday, 22 April 2022
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Thursday, 21 April 2022
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Wednesday, 20 April 2022
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Tuesday, 19 April 2022
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Monday, 18 April 2022
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Sunday, 17 April 2022
Markets Week Ahead: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, US Dollar, Euro, Crude Oil, Bitcoin, Inflation
S&P 500, FTSE 100 & DAX 40 Forecast For The Week Ahead
S&P 500, FTSE 100 & DAX 40 Forecast For The Week Ahead
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Saturday, 16 April 2022
AUD Forecast Q2 2022: Commodities and Central Banks in Focus
AUD Forecast Q2 2022: Commodities and Central Banks in Focus
US Dollar Forecast: Fed Chairman Powell to Speak at IMF Meeting
US Dollar Forecast: Fed Chairman Powell to Speak at IMF Meeting
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US Dollar Forecast Q2 2022: Dollar Rate Hikes, Conversion and Safety Appeal
Friday, 15 April 2022
Australian Dollar Outlook: AUD Undermined by USD as Fed Hikes All Priced In
Crude Oil Price Forecast Q2 2022: Robust Demand Still Met with Limited Supply
Crude Oil Price Forecast Q2 2022: Robust Demand Still Met with Limited Supply
China House Price Data Due On Friday
China will on Friday release March figures for its house price index, headlining a light day for Asia-Pacific economic activity. In February, house prices were up 2.0 percent on year.
Finally, several of the regional markets are closed for Good Friday, including Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Hong Kong and Indonesia - while Thailand remains shuttered for the Songkran Festival.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192614/
Dollar Rebounds From Early Weakness, Scores Solid Gains Against Peers
The U.S. dollar gained against most of its major counterparts on Thursday after European Central Bank chief Christine Lagarde avoided saying exactly when the bank would raise interest rates.
The ECB today left its interest rates unchanged and confirmed that it will end net asset purchases under its asset purchase programme in the thir quarter. However, it did not give an exact date, citing incoming data since the March policy session.
"Looking ahead, our monetary policy will depend on the incoming data and our evolving assessment of the outlook," Lagarde said in her introductory statement to the post-decision press conference, which this time was a live virtual session from her home as she is recovering from a Covid-19 infection.
"In the current conditions of high uncertainty, we will maintain optionality, gradualism and flexibility in the conduct of monetary policy."
The ECB chief noted that several factors signal slow growth in the period ahead and the downside risks to the growth outlook in the euro area have increased substantially due to the war in Ukraine.
Meanwhile, in U.S. economic news, data released by the Commerce Department showed retail sales rose by 0.5% in March after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.8% in February. Economists had expected retail sales to increase by 0.6% compared to the 0.3% uptick originally reported for the previous month.
A separate report released by the Labor Department showed first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits increased by more than expected in the week ended April 9th, rising to 185,000, an increase of 18,000 from the previous week's revised level of 167,000.
The Labor Department also released a report showing U.S. import prices surged by more than expected in the month of March, as prices for fuel imports continued to skyrocket.
Meanwhile, preliminary data released by the University of Michigan showed the consumer sentiment index spiked to 65.7 in April from 59.4 in March. The sharp increase surprised economists, who had expected the index to edge down to 59.0.
The consumer sentiment index rebounded from its lowest level since August 2011 amid an improvement in consumer expectations, with the expectations index surging to 64.1 in April from 54.3 in Mach.
The dollar index, which was down in the Asian session, climbed to 100.76 post release of the latest batch of economic data. Despite paring some gains subsequently, the index remains firm at 100.31, up 0.44% from the previous close.
Against the Euro, the dollar firmed to $1.0831 from $1.0892.
The dollar is trading at $1.3078 against Pound Sterling, strengthening from $1.3117.
Against the Japanese currency, the dollar is stronger, fetching 125.95 yen a unit, compared with 125.66 yen on Wednesday.
The dollar is at 0.7417 against the Aussie, firming from 0.7455. The Swiss franc is trading at 0.9428 a dollar, weakening from 0.9346.
The Loonie is weak at C$ 1.2610 a dollar, about 0.36% down from the previous close of C$ 1.2565.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192613/
Oil Futures Rebound From Early Losses, Settle 2.6% Up
Crude oil prices climbed higher on Thursday, rebounding strongly from earlier losses, lifted by reports that the European Union is considering phasing in a ban on Russian oil imports.
News that Chinese refiners are likely to crude output by about 6% this month contributed as well to the jump in oil prices.
West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for May ended higher by $2.70 or about 2.6% at $106.95 a barrel, rebounding from a low of $102.12 a barrel. WTI crude futures gained nearly 9% in the week.
Brent crude futures were up $2.31 or 2.1% at $111.09 a barrel a little while ago.
According to reports, European officials are drafting plans for an embargo on Russian oil products to condemn Russia for its invasion of Ukraine.
The earliest the proposed E.U. embargo will be put up for negotiation will be after the final round of the French elections.
Meanwhile, a report from Baker Hughes showed oil rigs in the U.S. rose by two to 548 this week. Natural gas rigs increased by two to 143. The total rig count increased to 693.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192612/
Treasuries Pull Back Sharply Following Slew Of Economic Data
After moving sharply higher over the two previous sessions, treasuries showed a substantial move back to the downside during trading on Thursday.
Bond prices moved steadily lower throughout much of the trading day before closing firmly negative. As a result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, spiked 14.1 basis points to 2.828 percent.
The ten-year yield more than offset the 9.3 basis point drop seen over the two previous sessions, reaching its highest closing level since December 2018.
The sharp pullback by treasuries came following the release of a slew of U.S. economic data, including a report from the Commerce Department showing U.S. retail sales increased in March amid a spike in sales by gas stations.
The report showed retail sales rose by 0.5 percent in March after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.8 percent in February.
Economists had expected retail sales to increase by 0.6 percent compared to the 0.3 percent uptick originally reported for the previous month.
Excluding a pullback in sales by motor vehicle and parts dealers, retail sales jumped by 1.1 percent in March after rising by 0.6 percent in February. Ex-auto sales were expected to increase by 1.0 percent.
A separate report released by the Labor Department showed first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits increased by more than expected in the week ended April 9th.
The Labor Department said initial jobless claims rose to 185,000, an increase of 18,000 from the previous week's revised level of 167,000.
Economists had expected initial jobless claims to edge up to 171,000 from the 166,000 originally reported for the previous week.
The Labor Department also released a report showing U.S. import prices surged by more than expected in the month of March, as prices for fuel imports continued to skyrocket. Meanwhile, preliminary data released by the University of Michigan unexpectedly showed a substantial improvement in U.S. consumer sentiment in the month of April.
The report showed the consumer sentiment index spiked to 65.7 in April from 59.4 in March. The sharp increase surprised economists, who had expected the index to edge down to 59.0.
The consumer sentiment index rebounded from its lowest level since August 2011 amid an improvement in consumer expectations, with the expectations index surging to 64.1 in April from 54.3 in Mach.
While the markets will be closed on Friday, the Federal Reserve is still scheduled to release its report on industrial production in the month of March.
Following the long weekend, traders are likely to keep an eye on reports on homebuilder confidence, housing starts, and existing home sales as well as the Fed's Beige Book.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192611/
Gold Futures Snap 5-day Winning Streak As Dollar Climbs Higher
Gold futures settled lower on Thursday, snapping a five-day winning streak, as a firm dollar weighed on the commodity.
The dollar index, which climbed to 100.76, pared some gains subsequently and was hovering around 100.40 a little while ago, recording a gain of about 0.53%.
The dollar was weak during the Asian session as U.S. Treasury yields dropped amid signals that inflation may have peaked.
The European Central Bank today left its policy rates unchanged and reaffirmed that it is set to end asset purchases in the third quarter.
Federal Reserve board member Christopher Waller said on Wednesday that the central bank will continue with its plan for rate hikes to curb inflation even though the pace of price increases is likely to have peaked.
The economy is strong enough to support higher rates, enabling the Fed to move prices down without causing a recession, Waller added.
Gold futures for June ended down by $9.80 or about 0.5% at $1,974.90 an ounce.
Silver futures for May ended lower by $0.330 at $25.700 an ounce, while Copper futures for May settled at $4.7235 per pound, gaining $0.0115.
Data released by the Commerce Department this morning showed retail sales rose by 0.5% in March after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.8% in February. Economists had expected retail sales to increase by 0.6% compared to the 0.3% uptick originally reported for the previous month.
A separate report released by the Labor Department showed first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits increased by more than expected in the week ended April 9th, rising to 185,000, an increase of 18,000 from the previous week's revised level of 167,000.
Economists had expected initial jobless claims to edge up to 171,000 from the 166,000 originally reported for the previous week.
The Labor Department also released a report showing U.S. import prices surged by more than expected in the month of March, as prices for fuel imports continued to skyrocket.
Meanwhile, preliminary data released by the University of Michigan unexpectedly showed a substantial improvement in U.S. consumer sentiment in the month of April.
The report showed the consumer sentiment index spiked to 65.7 in April from 59.4 in March. The sharp increase surprised economists, who had expected the index to edge down to 59.0.
The consumer sentiment index rebounded from its lowest level since August 2011 amid an improvement in consumer expectations, with the expectations index surging to 64.1 in April from 54.3 in Mach.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192610/
Thursday, 14 April 2022
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Wednesday, 13 April 2022
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Tuesday, 12 April 2022
Crude Oil Shows Significant Move Back To The Downside
Oil prices showed a significant decrease on Monday, extending losses from the previous week as Chinese coronavirus lockdowns continued, raising concerns about demand from the world's biggest crude importer.
Crude for May delivery tumbled $3.97 to $94.29 a barrel after jumping $2.23 to $98.26 a barrel last Friday.
China's largest Covid-19 outbreak in two years continues to spread despite an extended lockdown of Shanghai's 25 million people.
The financial hub reported over 26,000 new cases on Sunday, a new record despite repeated mass testing.
With China maintaining its COVID Zero strategy, investors fear that there will be consequences for global growth, supply chains and inflation.
The move by the IEA to release oil from its reserve to help cool global prices amid the Russia-Ukraine crisis also continued to weigh on prices.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192416/
Gold Prices Pull Back Off Best Levels But Close Modestly Higher
After showing a strong move to the upside early in the day, gold prices gave back ground but still managed to close modestly higher.
Gold for June delivery inched up $2.60 to $1,948.20 an ounce after reaching a high of $1,974.60 an ounce.
The precious metal initially benefitted from its appeal as a safe haven amid concerns about the outlook for monetary policy and the global economy.
Worries about the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine and the coronavirus outbreak in Shanghai also contributed to the early advance.
Buying interest waned over the course of the session, however, with reports on consumer and producer price inflation, retail sales and industrial production likely to attract attention in the coming days.
The data may impact expectations regarding how aggressively the Federal Reserve plans to tighten monetary policy.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192415/
Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 Fall as Treasury Yields Rally, Hang Seng Index May Be Vulnerable
Three-Year Note Auction Attracts Slightly Above Average Demand
Kicking off this week's series of announcements of the results of its long-term securities auctions, the Treasury Department on Monday revealed this month's auction of $46 billion worth of three-year notes attracted slightly above average demand.
The three-year note auction drew a high yield of 2.738 percent and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.48.
Last month, the Treasury sold $48 billion worth of three-year notes, drawing a high yield of 1.775 percent and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.39.
The bid-to-cover ratio is a measure of demand that indicates the amount of bids for each dollar worth of securities being sold.
The ten previous three-year note auctions had an average bid-to-cover ratio of 2.43.
Looking ahead, the Treasury is due to announce the results of this month's auctions of $34 billion worth of ten-year notes and $20 billion worth of thirty-year bonds on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192414/
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Monday, 11 April 2022
*China Mar Consumer Price Inflation 1.5% Vs. 0.9% In Feb, Consensus 1.2%
China Mar Consumer Price Inflation 1.5% Vs. 0.9% In Feb, Consensus 1.2%
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192368/
*China Mar PPI Up 8.3% Annually Vs. 8.8% In Feb, Consensus 7.9%
China Mar PPI Up 8.3% Annually Vs. 8.8% In Feb, Consensus 7.9%
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192369/
Crude Oil Price Forecast Q2 2022: Robust Demand Still Met with Limited Supply
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Markets Week Ahead: Dow Jones, USD, Euro, Canadian Dollar, CPI, ECB, BoC, French Election
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Sunday, 10 April 2022
S&P 500 Forecast: Rising US Consumer Prices to Drag on Risk Appetite
S&P 500 Forecast: Rising US Consumer Prices to Drag on Risk Appetite
Crude Oil Fundamental Forecast: US-IEA Release, Shanghai Woes to Weigh as Inventories Rise
Crude Oil Fundamental Forecast: US-IEA Release, Shanghai Woes to Weigh as Inventories Rise
Euro Weekly Forecast – Will the ECB Disappoint the Hawks Next Week?
Euro Weekly Forecast – Will the ECB Disappoint the Hawks Next Week?
Saturday, 9 April 2022
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Bitcoin Treads Cautiously Along Key Technical Levels
Bitcoin Treads Cautiously Along Key Technical Levels
Dollar Climbs To Fresh 2-year High As Traders Bet On Aggressive Rate Hikes
The U.S. dollar firmed against its major counterparts on Friday and the dollar index rose to a fresh 2-year high, buoyed by hawkish remarks from a Federal Reserve policy maker supporting aggressive interest rate hikes to counter inflation.
St Louis Fed President James Bullard said on Thursday that the central bank remained "behind the curve" on interest rates and preferred to raise the federal funds rate by another 3 percentage points by the end of the year.
Chicago Fed President Charles Evans and his Atlanta counterpart Raphael Bostic said that it is appropriate to raise rates to neutral but in a measured manner.
Earlier in the week, the Fed minutes suggested that it plans to start the balance sheet reduction next month and favored a half-point liftoff in interest rates at one or more meetings in the future.
According to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, investors are pricing in the Fed to raise interest rate to a target range of between 2.5 percent and 2.75 percent by the end of the year.
Data released by the Commerce Department showed wholesale inventories in the U.S. surged by more than expected in the month of February, spiking by 2.5%, after jumping by an upwardly revised 1.2% in January.
Economists had expected wholesale inventories to shoot up by 2.1% compared to the 0.8% increase originally reported for the previous month.
Next week, traders are likely to keep a close eye on reports on consumer and producer price inflation, retail sales and industrial production.
The data may impact the outlook for interest rates amid recent indications the Federal Reserve plans to tighten monetary policy more aggressively than previously anticipated.
The dollar index climbed to a fresh 2-year high of 100.19, but pared gains subsequently, and was last seen at 99.85, up 0.1% from the previous close.
Against the Euro, the dollar firmed to $1.0876, after having weakened to $1.0893.
The Dollar is trading at $1.3033 against Pound Sterling, after having firmed to $1.2982 in early New York session.
Against the Japanese currency, the dollar is stronger, fetching 124.31 yen. It had earlier strengthened to 124.68 yen.
Against the Aussie, the dollar is at 0.7460, gaining from 0.7479.
The Swiss franc is down slightly against the dollar, at CHF 0.9341, while the Loonie is stronger at C$1.2574 a dollar thanks to the surge in crude oil prices.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192367/
Australian Dollar Outlook: Domestic Factors Sidelined as the Fed Talks Up Rates
Australian Dollar Outlook: Domestic Factors Sidelined as the Fed Talks Up Rates
Oil Futures Settle Higher For The Day, But Shed 1.2% In Week
Crude oil prices climbed higher on Friday, but still posted a weekly loss, going down for a second straight week amid concerns about the outlook for energy demand, and the move by the IEA to release oil from its reserve.
West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for May ended up by 2.3% at $98.26 a barrel. However, the contrac shed 1.2% in the week.
Brent crude futures were up $2.06 or 2.05% at $102.64 a barrel a little while ago.
Oil prices dropped this week following the members of the International Energy Agency agreeing to a 120-million barrel release of crude and oil from emergency stockpiles to help cool global prices amid the Russia-Ukraine crisis.
Also, an extended lockdown in Shanghai due to the virus outbreak dimmed the outlook for energy demand.
According to a report released by Baker Hughes, the number of oil rigs in the United States went up by thirteen to 546 in the week ending April 8 compared to the previous week.
The number of US gas rigs rose by three to 141 in the week, while the total number of rigs in the country reached 689 after a rise of sixteen rigs. The number of oil rigs has gone up by 209 compared to the same period a year earlier.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192366/
Treasuries See Further Downside Amid Worries About Monetary Policy
Treasuries moved notably lower over the course of the trading day on Friday, extending the downward move seen over the past several sessions.
Bond prices came under pressure early in the session and remained firmly negative throughout the day. As a result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, climbed 6.1 basis points to 2.713 percent.
The ten-year yield closed higher for the sixth consecutive session, once again reaching its highest closing level in three years.
Treasuries extended their recent downward trend as traders continued to express concerns about the outlook for monetary policy.
In U.S. economic news, a report released by the Commerce Department showed wholesale inventories in the U.S. surged by more than expected in the month of February.
The Commerce Department said wholesale inventories spiked by 2.5 percent in February after jumping by an upwardly revised 1.2 percent in January.
Economists had expected wholesale inventories to shoot up by 2.1 percent compared to the 0.8 percent increase originally reported for the previous month.
Next week, traders are likely to keep a close eye on reports on consumer and producer price inflation, retail sales and industrial production.
The data may impact the outlook for interest rates amid recent indications the Federal Reserve plans to tighten monetary policy more aggressively than previously anticipated.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192365/
Gold Futures Settle Modestly Higher For The Day, Gain 1.2% In Week
Gold prices moved higher on Friday even as the dollar climbed to a fresh record high amid rising speculation about steeper interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
Gold prices climbed up on safe-haven buying amid lingering concerns about inflation and the likely economic impact of the ongoing war in Ukraine and the continued surge in coronavirus cases in Shanghai.
The dollar index spurted to 100.19 before retreating from there and paring some gains. The dollar index was hovering around 99.90, up 0.15% from the previous close, a little while ago.
Gold futures for June ended up by $7.80 or about 0.4% at $1,945.60 an ounce. Gold futures gained about 1.2% in the week.
Silver futures for May ended higher by $0.088 at $24.823 an ounce, while Copper futures for May settled at $4.7250 per pound, up $0.0255 from the previous close.
Data released by the Commerce Department showed wholesale inventories in the U.S. surged by more than expected in the month of February, spiking by 2.5%, after jumping by an upwardly revised 1.2% in January.
Economists had expected wholesale inventories to shoot up by 2.1% compared to the 0.8% increase originally reported for the previous month.
Next week, traders are likely to keep a close eye on reports on consumer and producer price inflation, retail sales and industrial production.
The data may impact the outlook for interest rates amid recent indications the Federal Reserve plans to tighten monetary policy more aggressively than previously anticipated.
St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said on Thursday that the central bank remained "behind the curve" on interest rates and preferred to raise the federal funds rate by another 3 percentage points by the end of the year.
Chicago Fed President Charles Evans and his Atlanta counterpart Raphael Bostic said that it is appropriate to raise rates to neutral but in a measured manner.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192364/
Friday, 8 April 2022
How to Research Stocks: A Step by Step Guide
Dollar Recovers After Mild Setback, Rises To Fresh 2-year High
The U.S. dollar firmed against most of its major counterparts on Thursday despite seeing some weakness at times during the course of the day's session.
Hopes of tighter monetary policy and steeper interest rate hikes contributed to dollar's strength.
The Fed minutes from the March meeting showed that most policymakers supported one or more 50 basis point rate hikes at future meetings, if inflation pressures remained elevated or intensified.
Fed officials agreed that balance sheet runoff should start from May. The plan involves reducing bond holdings by $95 billion per month and the amounts could be phased in over a period of three months or modestly longer if market conditions warrant.
Data released by the Labor Department showed initial jobless claims in the U.S. dipped to 166,000, in the week ended April 2nd, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level of 171,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to edge down to 200,000 from the 202,000 originally reported for the previous week.
The dollar index climbed to a fresh two-year high of 99.83, recovering well from a low of 99.40 it touched earlier in the day.
Against Euro, the dollar is trading at $1.0872, firming from $1.0897.
The dollar is trading at $1.3073 against Pound Sterling, down slightly from the previous close.
The dollar is fetching 123.99 yen, about 0.16% more than Wednesday's close of 123.79 yen.
Against the Aussie, the dollar is at 0.7478, firming from 0.7512. The Swiss franc is trading at CHF 0.9343 a dollar, easing from CHF0.9334.
The Loonie is down against the dollar, at C$1.2590, weakening from C$1.2545, as oil prices drifted lower.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192297/
Oil Futures Pare Early Gains, Settle Lower On Weak Outlook For Demand
Crude oil futures pared early gains and settled slightly weak on Thursday, weighed down by concerns about excess supply in the market following the decision of the International Energy Agency to release oil from its reserve.
Concerns about the outlook for energy demand due to the virus outbreak in Shanghai and the resultant fresh lockdown measures weighed as well on oil prices.
Oil prices rose earlier in the day after the United States issued another round of sanctions on Russia.
Washington announced new measures including sanctions on Russian President Vladimir Putin's two adult daughters and a major bank. However, the European Union failed to approve a new round of sanctions including on Russian coal.
The democratic world must stop buying Russian oil and completely block Russian banks from the international finance system, Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said in his daily video address early today.
West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures ended down by $0.20 or about 0.2% at $96.03 a barrel, after dropping to $93.81 from a high of $98.82.
Brent crude futures were down $0.55 or 0.54% at $100.52 a barrel a little while ago.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192296/
Treasuries Extend Recent Move To The Downside
Treasuries came under pressure over the course of the trading day on Thursday, extending the downward trend seen over the past several sessions.
Bond prices moved to the downside early in the session and slid more firmly into negative territory as the day progressed. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, rose 4.3 basis points to 2.652 percent.
With the continued increase on the day, the ten-year yield ended the session at its highest closing level in over three years.
The continued weakness among treasuries reflected recent downward momentum, as traders remain worries about the Federal Reserve aggressively tightening monetary policy.
With the Federal Reserve's next monetary policy meeting almost a month away, traders are likely to keep a close eye on the latest economic data for clues about how aggressive the central bank will be.
The Labor Department released a report this morning showing a modest decrease by first-time claims for unemployment benefits in the week ended April 2nd.
The report showed initial jobless claims dipped to 166,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level of 171,000.
Economists had expected jobless claims to edge down to 200,000 from the 202,000 originally reported for the previous week.
The economic calendar is relatively quiet for the rest of this week but will pick up next week with the release of reports on consumer and producer price inflation, retail sales and industrial production.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192295/
Short S&P 500: Top Trade Opportunities
*U.S. Consumer Credit Spikes By $41.9 Billion In February
U.S. Consumer Credit Spikes By $41.9 Billion In February
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192294/
Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Weighs Risks in APAC Trade Ahead of Weekend
Thursday, 7 April 2022
Nasdaq 100 Underperforms Dow Jones. ASX 200 at Risk to Hawkish RBA, China Lockdowns
*Federal Reserve Releases Minutes Of March Monetary Policy Meeting
Federal Reserve Releases Minutes Of March Monetary Policy Meeting
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192231/
Gold Futures Settle Lower Ahead Of Fed Minutes
Gold prices edged lower on Wednesday as the dollar came off the day's lows ahead of the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve's most recent policy meeting.
Worries about the ongoing war in Ukraine and fresh sanctions on Russia limited gold's downside.
Expectations of aggressive policy tightening by the Federal Reserve lifted the dollar index to 99.75 in the Asian session today. The index subsequently dropped to 99.31 before recovering to 99.56.
The dollar firmed and Treasury yields surged after Fed Governor Lael Brainard, who is awaiting Senate confirmation to serve as the Fed's vice chairwoman, called the task of reducing inflation pressures "paramount" and indicated an aggressive approach to shrinking the Fed's balance sheet.
Gold futures for June ended down by $4.40 or about 0.2% at $1,923.10 an ounce.
Silver futures for May ended lower by $0.076 at $24.458 an ounce, while Copper futures for May settled at $4.7380 per pound, down $0.0570 from the previous close.
The US has said it will impose "severe and immediate economic costs on the Putin regime for its atrocities in Ukraine, including in Bucha."
Sanctions include freezing the US assets of Putin's daughters, and cutting them off from the US financial system.
Washington also said it will apply "full blocking" sanctions on Sberbank and Alfa Bank, Russia's largest public and private financial institutions.
The European Commission has already proposed new sanctions including banning Russian coal imports, raising worries about a new global supply challenge.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2192230/