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Thursday, 11 April 2024
Euro’s Outlook Turns Bearish After ECB Decision, Setups on EUR/USD, EUR/GBP
Gold, Silver Technical Forecast: Price Action Setups Analysed
ECB Leaves Rates Unchanged, Rate Cut Looms, EUR/USD Steady Ahead of Press Conference
USD/JPY Outlook: Hot US Inflation Propels USD/JPY to Worrying Levels
Wednesday, 10 April 2024
US Inflation Jumps, Rate Cut Expectations Pared Back Sharply, Gold Slides
Navigating Volatile Markets: Strategies and Tools for Traders
Gold Rally Continues, US Inflation Data the Next Obstacle to Clear
US Inflation Preview: US Dollar & Stocks on Edge. How to Trade this Risk Event?
Tuesday, 9 April 2024
Gold Hits Yet Another All-Time High, Silver Surges Ahead of US CPI
Japanese Yen Nears a Multi-Decade Low, Will Talk Turn to Action?
US Dollar Retreats Ahead of US CPI, Treasuries Seen Rising
Gold Price Outlook: Drivers Behind Market Boom, Reversal or New Record Ahead?
Monday, 8 April 2024
Kiwi and Aussie Outlook Ahead of the RBNZ Meeting
Bitcoin (BTC) Nears New All-Time High as Halving Event Looms, Coinbase (COIN) Benefits
Oil Price Update: Israeli Troops Withdraw from the South, Peace Talks Underway
US Dollar Grabs an Early Bid, Rate Cut Now Seen as 50/50, Gold Rallies Further
Sunday, 7 April 2024
Markets Week Ahead: Gold, US Dollar, Euro, Pound Sterling
US Dollar’s Outlook Rides on US Inflation Data - EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
Friday, 5 April 2024
Brent Crude Prices Hit $90 as Geopolitical Tensions Flare up
Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) On Edge After Official Verbal Intervention, NFPs Next
EUR/USD and Oil – Awaiting Fibonacci Resistance Breakout for Bullish Continuation
Trading EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and GBP/USD: Strategies for the Most Liquid FX Pairs
Thursday, 4 April 2024
Gold Posts a Fresh All-Time High Above $2,300 as US NFPs Near
Dow, Nasdaq 100 and Hang Seng Look to Push Higher
Euro Update: Weaker US Activity Data Helps the Euro Reclaim Lost Ground
Decoding Fedspeak: How Central Banker Comments Move Markets – Gold & US Dollar
Wednesday, 3 April 2024
Pound Sterling Update: GBP/USD Lifts Higher, GBP/CHF Treads Carefully
US Crude Oil Prices Surge As Market Seems Sure OPEC Cuts Will Stay Put
Market Q2 Forecasts: US Dollar, Gold, Euro, Oil, Bitcoin, Yen, Equities Outlooks
Gold Price Achieves Another All-Time High as Safe Haven Appeal Ramps up
Tuesday, 2 April 2024
US Dollar Stumbles Before Key Jobs Data; Setups on EUR/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD
Brent, WTI Reach Yearly High amid Escalations in Russia and Middle East
British Pound Bounces As Manufacturing Scrapes Back Into Growth
US Dollar Rallies, EUR/USD Slumps, Gold Continues to Push Ever Higher
Monday, 1 April 2024
Market Sentiment: Gold’s Bullish Outlook Intact; AUD/USD, NZD/USD Biased Lower
SPY and QQQ Seem Overbought but RSP Looks Attractive
Q2 Top Trade - Sell 10 Year UK Gilt Yields
Top Trading Idea Q2 2024: Long USD/CHF
Sunday, 31 March 2024
Markets Q2 Outlook: Gold, Stocks, Bitcoin, US Dollar, Euro, Pound, Yen. What’s Ahead?
US Dollar Q2 Forecast: Dollar to Push Forward as Major Central Banks Eye Rate Cuts
Saturday, 30 March 2024
Crude Oil Q2 Outlook – OPEC’s Cuts Will Keep Prices Underpinned
Euro Fundamental Forecast: ECB Will Start Cutting Interest Rates in Q2
Japanese Yen Q2 Fundamental Forecast: Brighter Days Ahead, Catalysts to Watch
Australian Dollar Q2 Technical Forecast: AUD/USD and AUD/JPY
Friday, 29 March 2024
Bitcoin Q2 Fundamental Forecast: Current Demand/Supply Imbalance is Driving Bitcoin Higher
Equities Q2 Fundamental Outlook: AI Euphoria, US Election and the Fed to Drive US Stocks
Japanese Yen Q2 Technical Forecast: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY at Critical Juncture
Australian Dollar Q2 Fundamental Forecast: Long AUD/USD Downtrend May Be Fading at Last
Thursday, 28 March 2024
Pound Sterling Update: UK Recession Confirmed by Final GDP Data, GBP Mixed
US Dollar Latest – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY Forecasts Ahead of US Data
Wednesday, 27 March 2024
Euro Latest – German GDP Seen at Just 0.1% in 2024, EUR/USD Under Pressure
Crude Oil Prices Slip Again As US Inventories Increase, OPEC Meet Eyed
FX Intervention Threat Steps up a Notch after USD/JPY Hits a Crucial Level
Tuesday, 26 March 2024
Gold, Silver Price Update: XAU/USD Rises on a Softer Dollar, Silver Withers
Euro Gains Again Despite More Dovish ECB Commentary
Pound Sterling Latest: GBP/USD Attempts Come Back Post-FOMC Sell-off
Bitcoin (BTC) Eyes New All-Time High, Ethereum (ETH) Trails, Coinbase (COIN) Rallies
Monday, 25 March 2024
Gold Price Steadies After Sharp Sell-Off, New All Time High Remains Possible
British Pound Inches Back Up As Markets Increasingly Bet On June Fed Cuts
Yen Update: USD/JPY Dips after BoJ Minutes, Concern over Volatile Moves
Sunday, 24 March 2024
Markets Week Ahead: Gold Overreacts, Sterling Sinks and USD Advances
US Dollar Forecast: PCE Data to Steal Show; EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD Setups
Friday, 22 March 2024
Oil Update: Russia-Ukraine War Targets Energy Infrastructure
US Dollar Index Pushes Higher, Sterling Continues to Weaken After BoE Dovish Shift
Thursday, 21 March 2024
EUR/USD Gains Already at Risk After Markets Digest FOMC, SNB Revelations
Bank of England Leaves Rates Unchanged, Vote Split Turns Dovish, GBP/USD Slips
Gold Soars to New All-Time High After the Fed Reaffirmed Rate Cut View
Fed Sticks to Dovish Policy Roadmap; Setups on Gold, EUR/USD, Nasdaq 100
Wednesday, 20 March 2024
Fed on Hold, 2024 Policy Outlook Unchanged – Gold & US Dollar on the Move
USD/JPY Selloff Continues Ahead of the FOMC Meeting
UK Inflation Falls to a Two-Year Low, GBP/USD Stable, All Eyes on the Fed
Tuesday, 19 March 2024
Lower Canadian CPI Brings Rate Cuts Closer While Fed Cuts Appear Delayed
British Pound Wilts As Markets Await Both Fed and BoE
Euro Latest – ZEW Economic Sentiment Improves, EUR/USD Hinges on FOMC Decision
Bank of Japan Exits Negative Interest Rate Policy but Remains Supportive
Monday, 18 March 2024
Gold Price Outlook: Fed May Shake Up Markets. Pullback or Rally in Store?
Sterling Outlook: GBP/USD, EUR/GBP, GBP/JPY Setups Ahead of CPI
Euro Higher Despite Market Worries of More Gradualist Fed
Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Rally Continues, BoJ Policy Decision Imminent
Sunday, 17 March 2024
Markets Week Ahead: Nasdaq Slips, Gold Steadies, Central Banks on Tap
Saturday, 16 March 2024
Gold Price Forecast: Fed in Spotlight – Bullish Explosion or Crash Ahead?
Friday, 15 March 2024
EUR/USD Levels Off at Support Ahead of Key Fed Decision – Outlook & Analysis
US Dollar Closes in on Resistance, GBP/USD Testing Support, Interest Rate Decisions Near
Japanese Wages Rise to 30-Year High, Fueling BoJ Rate Speculation
US Dollar Soars on Inflation Risks as Fed Looms; EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY Setups
Thursday, 14 March 2024
IEA Revises Oil Demand Outlook, Tweaks Supply Estimates – Oil Rises
Gold Price Coils Further, Silver Hits a Multi-Week High
Japanese Yen Slips A Little, But BoJ Policy Hopes Still Lend Support
EUR/USD Stumbles as ECB Official Calls for Two Rate Cuts Before the Summer
Wednesday, 13 March 2024
US Dollar Seeks Fed Signals in PPI, Retail Sales Data - EUR/USD, USD/JPY Setups
Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) Rally Further – Where to Next?
Crude Oil Prices Pop Up On Bullish OPEC Demand Calls
British Pound Update – GDP Picks Up in January, GBP Unchanged, FTSE Tests Resistance
Tuesday, 12 March 2024
US Dollar Forecast: Hot US Inflation Data Drives USD/JPY Higher. What Now?
Euro Slides Against Perky Dollar As US Inflation Springs Upside Surprise
US Inflation Comes in Hotter-Than-Expected, USD Gets a Small Bid, Gold Drifts
British Pound Latest - UK Labor Market Cools, GBP Steadies, FTSE 100 Probes Higher
Monday, 11 March 2024
US Dollar Gains Before US Inflation, Volatility Ahead - Setups on EUR/USD, USD/JPY
British Pound Update, GBP/USD Near Multi-Month Highs, EUR/GBP Eyes New Lows
Japanese Yen Gains Again As Dollar Wilts, BoJ Policy in the Spotlight
US Dollar Weakness Persists, Bitcoin Hits a New All-Time High, Gold Consolidates
Sunday, 10 March 2024
Markets Week Ahead: Gold Soars, Rate Cuts Near, Nasdaq and Nvidia Wobble
US Dollar Forecast: US CPI to Spark Next Big Move - EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
Saturday, 9 March 2024
Euro Weekly Forecast: Gains Look Vulnerable in Week of Modest Data
Friday, 8 March 2024
US Dollar Falls Further After US NFP Beat But January Number Revised Sharply Lower
Ethereum (ETH) Price Chart Looks Primed for Further Gains in the Coming Weeks
US Dollar Remains Weak, Gold and Bitcoin Eye Fresh Highs as US NFPs Near
US Jobs Report to Guide US Dollar’s Outlook; EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD Setups
Thursday, 7 March 2024
Euro (EUR/USD) Drifts Marginally Lower After the ECB Leaves All Policy Rates Unchanged
Japanese Yen Surges Against USD As Markets Again Mull BoJ Policy Exit
US Dollar Drifts Lower, Gold Rally Continues, US NFPs on the Horizon
Euro’s Outlook Hinges on ECB Guidance; Trade Setups on EUR/USD, EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY
Wednesday, 6 March 2024
US Dollar Falls, Fed’s Resolve in Question; USD/JPY, USD/CAD Setups Before NFP
GBP Update: Hunt Decides on National Insurance Reduction Over Tax Cuts
Euro Gains Again As Markets Look to Big ECB, Powell Double Bill
Gold Price Latest: All-Time High Remains Within Touching Distance
Tuesday, 5 March 2024
S&P 500, Nasdaq Ease After Apple and Tesla Send Indices Lower
Crude Oil Prices Struggle As China Growth Plans Fail to Convince
Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) on Edge as Signs of Wage Pressures Appear
Gold Prices Surge Ahead of Key US Data, All-Time High in Sight
Monday, 4 March 2024
USD/JPY Starts Week Strong; Tokyo Inflation, ISM Services, Powell & NFP in Focus
Oil Price Outlook: OPEC+ Extends Supply Cuts into Q2, WTI & Brent Ease
British Pound Gains Again Despite UK Spring Budget Jitters
Gold (XAU/USD) Price Probes Fresh Multi-Month Highs, More to Follow as NFPs Loom?
Sunday, 3 March 2024
Markets Week Ahead: Gold Breaks Out as EUR/USD Eyes ECB; Powell, BoC & NFP Loom
Saturday, 2 March 2024
Gold Price Forecast: Bullish Breakout Continuation Hinges on US Jobs Data
Friday, 1 March 2024
USD/JPY Recovers on Ueda's Dovish Remarks, Critical Tech Levels Ahead
Euro (EUR) Price Latest – EU Core Inflation Remains Sticky, EUR/USD Testing 1.0800 Again
Japanese Yen Outlook: Yen Appeal Proves Short-lived, Wage Data in Focus
Gold Price Outlook: Fundamental & Technicals at Odds, What Now for XAU/USD?
Thursday, 29 February 2024
Dow and Nasdaq 100 Ease Back While Hang Seng Bounce Hits a Wall
EUR/USD Rests Upon Key Long-Term Trend Filter Ahead of Key Inflation Data
Japanese Yen Grabs a Bid, Emboldened by Bank of Japan Talk
Markets on Edge Before US PCE Data; Outlook – Gold, EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
Wednesday, 28 February 2024
Japanese Yen Slips, Market Seems Warier of Intervention Chances
FTSE 100 and S&P 500 Consolidate while DAX 40 Trades in New Record Highs
RBNZ Issues Dovish Hold and Aus Inflation Stands Firm, NZD Weakened
Euro Technical Analysis & Trade Setups - EUR/USD, EUR/GBP and EUR/JPY
Tuesday, 27 February 2024
Crude Oil Prices Slip Back Despite Red-Sea Supply Worries
Japanese Yen Outlook: Markets Prioritise CPI Beat over Lower Trending Prices
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Hits $57k, Ethereum (ETH/USD) Touches $3,275 as Buyers Dominate the Market
Gold Price Forecast: Confluence Resistance Stifles Bulls, Focus Shifts to US PCE
Monday, 26 February 2024
US Dollar Eyes US PCE for Cues on Fed Path; EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Setups
Ethereum Spot ETF – The Next Cab Off the Rank?
British Pound Edges Up Again, US Data Will Run This Week’s Trade
Aussie Dollar Outlook: AUD/USD Finds Resistance Ahead of Inflation Data
Sunday, 25 February 2024
Markets Week Ahead: USD, Euro and Gold Eye Inflation Data, Sterling Supported
US Dollar Forecast: US PCE to Guide Markets; EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY Setups
Friday, 23 February 2024
Gold Weakened after Fed Officials Signalled a Preference to Delay Rate Cuts
Euro (EUR) Price Latest – EUR/USD Testing 200-SDMA Resistance, EUR/GBP Slipping Into Support
US Dollar’s Bullish Bias Holds Steady; Setups on EUR/USD, GBP/USD, Gold Prices
Thursday, 22 February 2024
Gold Prices Rise Again On Weaker Dollar, Geopolitics Dominate
British Pound (GBP) Latest – GBP/USD Boosted by Positive UK PMIs, Weak US Dollar
German PMI Data Slumps after Decent Run, Broader EU PMI Data Mixed
Crude Oil Heavy As Global Demand Worries Win Out Over Geopolitics
Wednesday, 21 February 2024
US Dollar Trims Losses After Fed Minutes Caution Against Premature Rate Cuts
USD/ZAR Price Forecast: Rand Marginally Weaker after Local CPI Inflation
Japanese Yen Latest – Exports Hit Record Levels, USD/JPY Testing 150 Again
US Dollar Subdued Ahead of Fed Minutes; Setups on EUR/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD
Tuesday, 20 February 2024
Oil Price Outlook: Brent Crude, WTI Ease after Decent Recovery
Japanese Yen Ticks Lower, FOMC Minutes, Japanese Trade In Focus
Euro (EUR) Price Latest – EUR/USD Testing Resistance, EUR/GBP Eyes Multi-Week High
Sterling Update: GBP/USD Hanging on but Breakdown Threat Looms
Monday, 19 February 2024
Historic Rate Rise on Track Despite Recession, USD/JPY Contained
British Pound Holds On Above $1.26, But Watch That Level Closely
AUD/USD Outlook: AUD Lifted as Chinese Trade Resumes, RBA Minutes Next
Gold (XAU/USD) Nudges Higher in Early Trade, Resistance Levels Near
Sunday, 18 February 2024
Markets Week Ahead: US Indices, Gold Recover Losses After US Inflation Fears
US Dollar Forecast: Bullish Bias Prevails; Setups on EUR/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD
Friday, 16 February 2024
FTSE 100 Recovers, while Dax and Dow make Further Gains
US Earnings Preview: What to Expect from NVIDIA Results
UK Retail Sales Soar in January to Erase December Slump, GBP Unfazed
Gold Prices Bounce off Confluence Support, Markets Eye US PPI for Fed Cues
Thursday, 15 February 2024
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Continues to Post Fresh Multi-Month Highs, Ethereum (ETH/USD) Eyes $3k
Japanese Yen Gains As Growth Data Put Spotlight On BOJ Policy Shift
UK Recession Confirmed by Dismal Q4 GDP Data – GBP, FTSE Reaction
British Pound Outlook – Analysis & Setups on GBP/USD, EUR/GBP and GBP/JPY
Wednesday, 14 February 2024
The Next Bitcoin Halving Event – What Does it Mean?
Gold Sinks, Weighed Down by the Dollar and US Yields Post CPI
British Pound (GBP) Update – UK Inflation Unchanged in January, Rate Cut Expectations Trimmed
Gold Price, Nasdaq 100, EUR/USD - What Comes Next After US CPI Data?
Tuesday, 13 February 2024
Euro Price Outlook: Hot US CPI Weighs on the Euro
US Dollar Jumps on Stronger-Than-Expected Inflation Data, Gold Crumbles into Support
UK Jobs and Earnings Data Give the Pound a Boost – GBP/USD, GBP/JPY
US Dollar on Tenterhooks ahead of US CPI; Setups on Gold, USD/JPY & GBP/USD
Monday, 12 February 2024
EUR/USD Forecast: US Inflation Data to Drive Market Sentiment, Breakdown in Play
British Pound Latest – Heavyweight UK Data Will Steer GBP/USD, EUR/GBP in the Days Ahead
Gold (XAU/USD) Listless Ahead of US CPI, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Probes Multi-Year High
Sunday, 11 February 2024
Markets Week Ahead: Gold Dips as Stocks Fly; EUR/USD, GBP/USD Await US Inflation
Saturday, 10 February 2024
Gold Price Forecast: US Inflation to Dictate Direction, Volatility Looms Ahead
Friday, 9 February 2024
FTSE 100 drops, Dow remains bid and Nikkei 225 makes new 34-year high
EURUSD Ticks Lower As Weaker German Inflation Confirmed, ECB Still In A Bind
Gold, Silver Watching Seasonal CPI Adjustments on Friday
Thursday, 8 February 2024
British Pound Falls Back Into Red As Dollar Fights Back, Central Bank Speakers Eyed
EUR/USD Edges Up Even As Fed Speakers Echo Powell, German Inflation Eyed
DAX Edges Down, S&P 500 Eyes 5000 and Nasdaq 100 Hits New Record High
Yen Softens as Senior BoJ Official Favours a Cautious Exit from Negative Rates
Wednesday, 7 February 2024
Crude Oil Prices Supported By US Inventory Levels, Geopolitics
USD/JPY Steadies After Last Week’s Gains As Market Mulls BOJ Path
FTSE 100, CAC 40 resume their ascents but Nikkei 225 stays subdued
Cable (GBP/USD) Attempts Recovery - Key Levels for Downside Continuation
Tuesday, 6 February 2024
Gold Prices Inch Back From Fed-Inspired Battering, Hold Above $2000
British Pound Bounces at Key Support, Fed Speakers Likely To Dominate Trade
Dow Edges Lower and Nasdaq 100 Holds up, While Hang Seng Surges
RBA Holds Rates, Issues Hawkish Guidance in Response to Inflation Risks
Monday, 5 February 2024
EURUSD Wilts Again On Stronger Dollar, German Trade Misses Don’t Help
Crude Oil Prices Sink On Strong Dollar As Fed-Cut Bets Are Off
FTSE 100, DAX 40 side-lined while S&P 500 trades in record highs
AUD, ASX 200 Weighed Down by Worsening Chinese Sentiment
Sunday, 4 February 2024
Markets Week Ahead: S&P 500, Dow Hit Fresh Highs, Gold Fades, US Dollar Rallies
US Dollar Forecast: Bulls Return as Bears Bail; Setups on EUR/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD
Friday, 2 February 2024
US Dollar Forecast: Bulls Mount Comeback; Setups on EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
US Dollar Jumps After NFPs Smash Estimates, Gold Slumps
Brent, WTI Update: Oil on Track for Sizeable Weekly Loss
Thursday, 1 February 2024
Dow & Nasdaq 100 Fall after Fed Decision, while Hang Seng Decline Continues
BoE Kept Rates Unchanged but Revised Inflation Outlook Eyes Cuts
EUR/USD Battered By Fed, Stays Down Despite Small Core HICP Beat
US Dollar Holding Post-FOMC Gains for Now, Gold Continues to Nudge Higher
Wednesday, 31 January 2024
Euro (EUR/USD) Steadies After German Inflation Falls, FOMC Decision Up Next
Japanese Yen Weakens As Perky Dollar Looks To Fed Guidance
FTSE 100, DAX 40 and S&P 500 take a Breather ahead of the Fed Meeting
ASX Achieved a Record High after Cooler Aussie Inflation, AUD/USD Weaker
Tuesday, 30 January 2024
IMF Upgrades Global Growth as Major Economies Show Resilience
GBP/USD Holds Above 1.2600 As Year’s First Central Bank Meets Near
Euro (EUR/USD) Pares Recent Losses After German and Euro Area Q4 GDP Releases
Oil Prices Pullback Sharply after Oil Tanker Strike, Caution Grows
Monday, 29 January 2024
USD Ahead of FOMC: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY Setups
Crude Oil Prices Slip After Strong Run, Market Awaits US’ Jordan Response
Gold and Silver Push Higher as Middle East Tensions Escalate, FOMC and US NFPs Near
Asia Update: Evergrande Liquidation Order Fails to Sour the Mood - AUD, CNH
Sunday, 28 January 2024
Markets Week Ahead: Fed and BoE Decisions, US Jobs Data, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon Report
Saturday, 27 January 2024
Gold Price Forecast: Fed Decision to Guide Trend, Critical Levels For XAU/USD
Friday, 26 January 2024
USD/JPY in Consolidation Stage but Fed Decision May Spark Big Directional Move
US Breaking News: PCE Reveals Steady Progress Towards Fed’s 2% Target
Euro (EUR/USD) Under Pressure as Markets Push the ECB to Start Cutting Rates Earlier
Thursday, 25 January 2024
Gold Price Forecast: Core PCE Data to Guide Markets ahead of Fed Decision
US Dollar Mixed As GDP Data Smash Forecasts, Gloomy ECB Stands Pat
ECB Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged, EUR/USD Listless Ahead of Press Conference and US Q4 GDP
USD/CAD Latest After BoC Makes Dovish Shift, Price Pressures Remain
Wednesday, 24 January 2024
US Dollar Struggles Despite Better-than-Expected US PMI Data; GDP, PCE Next
British Pound Rallies on Robust UK PMIs, GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Latest
AUD Price Update: Aussie Mulling Latest Chinese Stimulus, AUD Contained
Tuesday, 23 January 2024
Crude Oil Prices Retrace Despite News of More US/UK Strikes in Yemen
Pound Sterling Price Action Setups: GBP/USD, EUR/GBP, GBP/JPY
Dow and Nasdaq 100 at Record Highs, while the Russell 2000 Continues to Rebound
USD/JPY Slips Lower After BoJ Stands Pat but Hints on Improving Inflation Outlook
Monday, 22 January 2024
Oil (Brent Crude, WTI) Edge Cautiously Higher - Follow through Lacking
Japanese Yen Ticks Up As Market Looks Toward BOJ’s First 2024 Rate Call
FTSE 100 Struggles while DAX 40 Rises and S&P 500 Trades at Record Highs
Modest Start to the Week for AUD, PBOC Maintains Benchmark Rate
Sunday, 21 January 2024
Markets Week Ahead: Gold Under Pressure, US Equities Rally, USD Holds Recent Highs
US Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD & AUD/USD’s Path Tied to US PCE
Saturday, 20 January 2024
U.S. Dollar Showing Modest Move Back To The Downside
The value of the U.S. dollar has moved modestly lower during trading on Friday, giving back ground after trending over the past few days.
The U.S. dollar index has slipped 0.28 points or 0.3 percent to 103.25, pulling back off the one-month high set on Thursday.
The greenback is trading at 148.10 yen versus the 148.16 yen it fetched at the close of New York trading on Thursday. Against the euro, the dollar is valued at $1.0895 compared to yesterday's $1.0876.
The modest pullback by the dollar comes after the University of Michigan released a report showing a significant improvement in U.S. consumer sentiment as well as a continued decrease in inflation expectations.
The University of Michigan said its consumer sentiment index surged to 78.8 in January after jumping to 69.7 in December. Economists had expected the index to inch up to 70.0.
With the much bigger than expected increase, the consumer sentiment index reached its highest level since hitting 81.2 in July 2021.
The University of Michigan's report also showed continued decreases in both year-ahead and long-run inflation expectations.
Year-ahead inflation expectations slipped to 2.9 percent in January after plunging to 3.1 percent in December, hitting the lowest level since December 2020.
Long-run inflation expectations also edged down to 2.8 percent in January from 2.9 percent in December, falling just below the 2.9-3.1 percent range seen for 26 of the last 30 months.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224613/
Treasuries Recover From Early Weakness To Close Roughly Flat
Treasuries extended their recent downward trend in early trading on Friday but regained ground over the course of the session.
Bond prices climbed well off their early lows, eventually ending the day roughly flat. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, inched up by less than a basis point to 4.146 percent after reaching a higher of 4.198 percent.
The early weakness among treasuries came as a University of Michigan report showing a substantial improvement in U.S. consumer sentiment in January reduced the safe haven appeal of bonds.
The University of Michigan said its consumer sentiment index surged to 78.8 in January after jumping to 69.7 in December. Economists had expected the index to inch up to 70.0.
With the much bigger than expected increase, the consumer sentiment index reached its highest level since hitting 81.2 in July 2021.
Selling pressure waned over the course of the session, however, as the report also showed continued decreases in both year-ahead and long-run inflation expectations.
Year-ahead inflation expectations slipped to 2.9 percent in January after plunging to 3.1 percent in December, hitting the lowest level since December 2020.
Long-run inflation expectations also edged down to 2.8 percent in January from 2.9 percent in December, falling just below the 2.9-3.1 percent range seen for 26 of the last 30 months.
The U.S. economic calendar starts relatively quiet early next week, although reports on personal income and spending, durable goods orders and fourth quarter GDP are likely to attract attention later in the week.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224611/
Friday, 19 January 2024
Japan Inflation Data Due On Friday
Japan will on Friday release December numbers for consumer prices, highlighting a light day for Asia-Pacific economic activity.
In November, overall inflation was down 0.2 percent on month and up 2.8 percent on year, while core CPI rose an annual 2.5 percent.
Japan also will see November results for its tertiary industry activity index, with forecasts suggesting a score of +0.2 following the -1.2 reading in October.
Malaysia will provide December data for imports, exports and trade balance. Imports are expected to rise 3.2 percent on year, up from 1.7 percent in November. Exports are seen lower by an annual 4.8 percent after slipping 5.9 percent in the previous month. The trade surplus is pegged at MYR17.1 billion, up from MYR12.4 billion a month earlier.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224555/
Dollar Consolidates Recent Gains Against Major Counterparts
The U.S. dollar firmed against most of its major counterparts on Thursday amid fading hopes for an early rate cut after data showed a drop in jobless claims in the week ended January 12th. However, the currency pared gains subsequently and even turned slightly weak against some counterparts.
A report from the Labor Department said initial jobless claims fell to 187,000 in the week ended January 13th, a decrease of 16,000 from the previous week's revised level of 203,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to inch up to 207,000 from the 202,000 originally reported for the previous week.
With the unexpected decline, jobless claims dropped to their lowest level since hitting 182,000 in the week ended September 24, 2022.
A report released by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia showed regional manufacturing activity contracted at a slightly slower rate in the month of January.
The Philly Fed said its diffusion index for current general activity rose to a negative 10.6 in January from a revised reading of negative 12.8 in December. Economists had expected the index to rise to a negative 7.0 from the negative 10.5 originally reported for the previous month.
Data from the Commerce Department showed housing starts slumped by 4.3% to an annual rate of 1.460 million in December.
The dollar index, which advanced to 103.63 around late morning, was at 103.47 a little while ago, up slightly from the previous close.
Against the Euro, the dollar was up marginally at 1.0874, and against Pound Sterling, it weakened to 1.2703 after having firmed to 1.2647 following the release of the jobless claims data.
The dollar was flat against the Japanese currency at 148.16 yen. Against the Aussie, the dollar weakened to 0.6570. The Swiss franc was down at 0.8680 a dollar, while the Loonie edged up marginally against the greenback to C$ 1.3492.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224554/
Oil Settles Sharply Higher On Drop In Crude Stocks, Bullish Demand Forecast
Oil prices climbed higher on Thursday, lifted by data showing a drop in U.S. crude inventories in the week ended January 12th, and on higher forecasts for global oil demand.
Recent strong U.S. economic data also point to a likely jump in oil demand. Meanwhile, tensions in the Middle East continue to disrupt global shipping and trade.
Data from U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed crude inventories dropped by 2.5 million barrels last week, as against expectations for a declined of 313,000 barrels.
Gasoline inventories increased by 3.1 million barrels last week, higher than an expected increase of 2.2 million barrels, while distillate stocks were up 2.4 million barrels in the week, more than 2.5 times the expected increase.
West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for February ended higher by $1.52 at $74.08 a barrel.
Brent crude futures were up $1.20 or 1.53% at $79.08 a barrel a little while ago.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), both said in their reports that global oil demand will see a significant growth this year.
The IEA said in its montly report that oil demand will likely grow by 1.24 million barrels per day in 2024, up 180,000 barrels per day from its earlier projection.
The OPEC said in its report on Wednesday that it expects demand to rise by 2.25 million barrels per day this year, and by 1.85 million barrels per day to 106.21 millon barrels per day in 2025.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224552/
Thursday, 18 January 2024
Dollar Climbs Higher Against Major Counterparts On Strong Economic Data
The U.S. dollar gained against its major counterparts on Wednesday amid fading prospects of an interest rate cut in March after data showed a bigger than expected retail sales in the month of December.
Data from the Commerce Department showed retail sales in the U.S. climbed by 0.6% in December after rising by 0.3% in November. Economists had expected retail sales to advance by 0.4%.
A separate report from the Commerce Department showed business inventories slipped by 0.1% in November, matching the dip seen in October as well as economist estimates.
A report released by the Federal Reserve showed industrial production in the U.S. inched up 0.1% in December.
The National Association of Home Builders released a report showing a significant improvement in U.S. homebuilder confidence in the month of January.
The report said the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index jumped to 44 in January from 37 in December. Economists had expected the index to rise to 39.
Data released by the Labor Department showed import prices in the U.S. unexpectedly came in unchanged in the month of December, after declining by a revised 0.5% in November.
The dollar index, which surged to 103.69 earlier in the day, was up marginally at 103.38 a little while ago.
Against the Euro, the dollar firmed to 1.0846 this morning, but pared gains as the day progressed and was at 1.0883, down slightly from the previous close.
Against the Japanese currency, the dollar was up at 148.19 yen, gaining from 147.19 yen. The dollar firmed to 0.6551 against the Aussie. The dollar firmed against Swiss franc, fetching CHF 0.8646 a unit, and traded higher against the Loonie at C$1.3512.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224494/
WTI Crude Futures Settle Higher Ahead Of Inventory Data
Despite weak fourth-quarter GDP data from China, oil futures settled higher on Wednesday, ahead of weekly crude inventory data.
Concerns about the outlook for oil demand, and a firm dollar limited the uptick in oil prices.
West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures for February ended higher by $0.16 at $72.56 a barrel.
Brent crude futures were down $0.26 or 0.33% at $78.03 a barrel a little while ago.
Worries about the outlook for energy demand remain as China reported a 5.2% increase in fourth-quarter GDP, lower than the expected 5.3% rise.
Meanwhile, OPEC reiterated that demand will rise by 2.2 million barrels per day this year, over 2023. OPEC expects oil demand to rise by 1.8 million barrels per day next year.
The OPEC group produced 26.7 million barrels of crude oil per day in December, up from 26.628 million barrels of crude oil per day a month earlier.
Oil prices fell earlier in the day due to disappointing Chinese data and broader risk-off sentiment in the markets as traders pared back rate cuts, according to Craig Erlam, Senior Market Analyst at OANDA, UK & EMEA.
The weekly inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) is due later today. The weely oil report from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be out Thursday morning.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224493/
Treasuries See Further Downside Following Retail Sales Data
Treasuries moved to the downside during trading on Wednesday, extending the notable decline seen in the previous session.
Bond prices came under pressure in early trading and remained in the red throughout the day. As a result, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, rose by 4.0 basis points to 4.106 percent.
The ten-year yield added to the 11.6 basis points surge seen on Tuesday, reaching its highest closing level over a month.
The continued weakness among treasuries reflected ongoing uncertainty about the outlook for interest rates amid recent concerns the Federal Reserve won't lower rates as early as previously anticipated.
Adding to the worries the Fed will hold off on cutting rates, the Commerce Department released a report this morning showing U.S. retail sales increased by more than expected in the month of December.
The report said retail sales climbed by 0.6 percent in December after rising by 0.3 percent in November. Economists had expected retail sales to advance by 0.4 percent.
Excluding a jump in sales by motor vehicle and parts dealers, retail sales rose by 0.4 percent in December after inching up by 0.2 percent in November. Ex-auto sales were expected to edge up by another 0.2 percent.
"As long as the primary indicators of economic activity like personal spending and the labor market are showing no signs of weakness, the Fed will be comfortable extending its rate pause through the March FOMC decision at least," said FHN Financial Macro Strategist Will Compernolle.
A separate report released by the Federal Reserve showed an unexpected uptick in U.S. industrial production in the month of December.
The Fed said industrial production inched up by 0.1 percent in December, while revised data showed production was unchanged in November.
Economists had expected industrial production to come in unchanged compared to the 0.2 percent increase originally reported for the previous month.
Trading on Thursday may be impacted by reaction to another batch of U.S. economic data, including reports on jobless claims, housing starts and Philadelphia-area manufacturing activity.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224492/
Wednesday, 17 January 2024
Dollar Rises Against Major Counterparts
The U.S. dollar climbed higher against its major counterparts on Tuesday after comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller raised concerns the Fed may not cut interest rates as aggressively as initially expected.
Waller said interest rate cuts are likely this year, but added that the central bank can take its time relaxing monetary policy. He said the process should be "carefully calibrated and not rushed."
Comments from several top bank officials in Europe also seemed to indicate rate cuts are unlikely anytime soon.
In economic news today, a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York said the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index plunged to -43.7 in January, the lowest reading since May 2020.
The dollar index surged to 103.43, gaining more than 1%.
Against the Euro, the dollar firmed to 1.0876 from 1.0953. Against Pound Sterling, the dollar strengthened to 1.2635, gaining from 1.2727.
The dollar moved up sharply against the Japanese currency, fetching 147.19 yen a unit, nearly 1% more than the previous close.
Against the Aussie, the dollar firmed to 0.6584 from 0.6660. The Swiss franc weakened to 0.8617 against the dollar, while the Loonie eased to 1.3495 a U.S. dollar.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224413/
Oil Futures Settle Lower As Stronger Dollar, Warmer Weather Forecast Weigh
Oil futures settled lower on Tuesday, coming off early highs, as a stronger dollar and forecasts that weather in the U.S. will be colder than normal weighed on oil prices.
Meteorologists have reportedly projected weather in the U.S. would switch from colder than normal this week to mostly warmer than normal during the later part of the month.
The dollar surged higher amid fading hopes about early interest rate cuts following some hawkish comments from central bank officials.
West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures ended down $0.28 at $72.40 a barrel.
Brent crude futures were trading slightly down $0.05 at $78.10 a barrel a little while ago.
Oil prices moved higher earlier in the day amid persisting concerns about likely disruptions in supply due to the attacks by the Houthi militants on vessels in the Red Sea. Houthi rebels fired a missile that struck a U.S.-owned ship Monday just off the coast of Yemen in the Gulf of Aden.
Meanwhile, Israel's military has ended its "intensive" phase of operations in northern Gaza and will soon do the same in southern Gaza, the country's defense minister has said.
Weekly inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) and U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be out on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively, a day later than usual due to the U.S. market holiday on Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224412/
Gold Prices in Turmoil as Treasury Yields Rebound and US Dollar Dominates
Tuesday, 16 January 2024
*South Korea Dec Export Price Index Down 2.3% On Year Vs. -3.5% In November
South Korea Dec Export Price Index Down 2.3% On Year Vs. -3.5% In November
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224346/
Monday, 15 January 2024
*Australia Dec ANZ-Indeed Job Ads Up 0.1% On Month Vs. -5.1% In November
Australia Dec ANZ-Indeed Job Ads Up 0.1% On Month Vs. -5.1% In November
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224286/
*India Dec Passenger Vehicles Sales Up 3.2% Y/Y Vs. 4.3% In November
India Dec Passenger Vehicles Sales Up 3.2% Y/Y Vs. 4.3% In November
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224285/
South Korea Trade Data On Tap For Monday
South Korea will on Monday release December figures for imports, exports and trade balance, highlighting a light day for Asia-Pacific economic activity.
In November, imports were down 10.8 percent on year and exports rose an annual 5.1 percent for a trade surplus of $4.48 billion.
Japan will see November numbers for machine tool orders; in the previous month, orders were down 13.6 percent on year.
Indonesia will provide December figures for imports, exports and trade balance. In November, imports rose 3.29 percent on year and exports slumped an annual 8.56 percent to a trade surplus of $2.41 billion.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224284/
Sunday, 14 January 2024
Markets Week Ahead: Gold Bid, US Dollar Struggles, US Equities Eye Fresh Highs
US Dollar Forecast: Reversal Possible; Setups on EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
Saturday, 13 January 2024
Dollar Recovers After Mild Setback
After drifting lower against its major counterparts Friday morning following the release of the producer price inflation data, the U.S. dollar recovered some lost ground and advanced against a few rivals.
Data from the Labor Department showed that the producer price index slipped by 0.1% in December, matching a revised dip in November. Economists had expected producer prices to inch up by 0.1% compared to the unchanged reading originally reported for the previous month.
Meanwhile, the report said the annual rate of producer price growth accelerated to 1% in December from a downwardly revised 0.8% in November.
The annual rate of producer price growth was expected to speed up to 1.3% from the 0.9% originally reported for the previous month.
The dollar index, which dropped to 102.09 around mid morning, recovered to 102.45, up from the previous close of 102.29.
Against the Euro, the dollar firmed to 1.0952 after having drifted down to 1.0989. Against Pound Sterling, the dollar was up slightly at 1.2751, and against the Yen, it dropped to 144.88 yen a unit.
The dollar is flat against the Aussie at 0.6688. Against Swiss franc, the greenback is up marginally, fetching CHF 0.8527 a unit. Against the Loonie, the dollar is higher at C$ 1.3405 after having weakened to C$ 1.3344 earlier in the session.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224283/
Oil Futures Settle Higher Again On Supply Concerns
Oil futures settled notably higher on Friday as an escalation in tensions in the Middle East raised concerns about delay in supplies.
The number of oil tankers being diverted from the Red Sea rose sharply following the air and sea strikes by the U.S. and the U.K. on the areas occupied by the Houthi rebels.
Oil prices also received some support after customs data showed China's annual crude oil imports hit an all-time high in 2023.
West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for February ended higher by $0.66 or about 0.9% at $72.68 a barrel, coming off a high of $75.25 a barrel.
However, the contract shed about 1.1% in the week.
Brent crude futures settled at $78.29 a barrel, gaining $0.88 or about 1.1%.
"The price jump came as the US and UK launched strikes against Houthi targets in Yemen, raising the risk of broadening the conflict in the region and disrupting oil supplies," says Craig Erlam, Senior Market Analyst at OANDA, UK & EMEA. "Despite today's moves, there's clearly still a view that the risk of a significant disruption is small or prices would be much higher. Still. they will remain sensitive to further developments," he adds.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224282/
Treasuries Finish Volatile Session Moderately Higher
After ending yesterday's trading firmly positive on late-day strength, treasuries fluctuated over the course of the trading session on Friday.
Bond prices bounced back and forth across the unchanged line before eventually closing moderately higher. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, fell by 2.7 basis points to 3.950 percent.
The volatility on the day came as traders reacted to a Labor Department report showing producer prices in the U.S. unexpectedly edged slightly lower in the month of December.
The Labor Department said its producer price index for final demand slipped by 0.1 percent in December, matching a revised dip in November.
Economists had expected producer prices to inch up by 0.1 percent compared to the unchanged reading originally reported for the previous month.
Meanwhile, the report said the annual rate of producer price growth accelerated to 1.0 percent in December from a downwardly revised 0.8 percent in November.
The annual rate of producer price growth was expected to speed up to 1.3 percent from the 0.9 percent originally reported for the previous month.
After yesterday's report showing consumer prices in the U.S. rose by slightly more than expected in the month of December, the whole price data added to recent uncertainty about the outlook for interest rates.
"PPI reports always feel secondary when they're released after the more-important CPI data, but considering the December PPI does not incorporate new supply chain issues from conflicts in the Red Sea, this morning's report feels particularly backward-looking," said FHN Financial Macro Strategist Will Compernolle.
"As a result, the encouraging aspects of December data on producer prices should be largely dismissed for now," he added. "We'll have to wait until January to see how recent supply chain problems pass through to US producer prices."
Following the long holiday weekend, next week's trading may be impacted by reaction to the latest economic news, including reports on retail sales, industrial production, import and export prices, housing starts and consumer sentiment.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224281/
Gold Futures Settle Sharply Higher
Gold prices rose sharply on Friday amid an escalation in geopolitical tensions after the United States and the United Kingdom launched air strikes against military targets in Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen.
The rebel militants were using the areas to attack commercial vessels in one of the world's most vital waterways.
The producer price inflation data, and the drop in yields of the US 10-year Treasury Note contributed as well to the surge in bullion prices.
Investors also digested mixed comments from Federal Reserve officials on the possibility of rate cuts this year.
Gold futures for February ended higher by $32.40 at $2,051.60 an ounce.
Silver futures for March ended up $0.624 at $23.329 an ounce, while Copper futures for March settled at $3.7405 per pound, down $0.0360 from the previous close.
"Gold was boosted by the PPI data and the US 10-year yields tumbling well below 4%, while the 2-year hit an 8-month low. The yellow metal has been struggling over the last couple of weeks and the jobs report and CPI data did little to revitalize it. The PPI appears to have done just that though, although it still has some way to go to reach the new highs reached in early December," says Craig Erlam, Senior Market Analyst at OANDA, UK & EMEA.
Data from the Labor Department showed the producer price index for final demand slipped by 0.1% in December, matching a revised dip in November. Economists had expected producer prices to inch up by 0.1% compared to the unchanged reading originally reported for the previous month.
Meanwhile, the report said the annual rate of producer price growth accelerated to 1% in December from a downwardly revised 0.8% in November. The annual rate of producer price growth was expected to speed up to 1.3% from the 0.9% originally reported for the previous month.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224280/
Friday, 12 January 2024
Dollar Rises On Inflation Data, But Retreats Later Against Some Major Rivals
The U.S. dollar, which climbed higher on Thursday after data showed a bigger than expected increase in the nation's consumer price inflation in the month of December, has pared gains and is turning in a mixed performance against its major counterparts.
The U.S. Labor Department said its consumer price index climbed by 0.3% in December after inching up by 0.1% in November. Economists had expected consumer prices to rise by 0.2%.
The report also showed the annual rate of consumer price growth accelerated to 3.4% in December from 3.1% in November. The annual rate of growth was expected to tick up to 3.2%.
Meanwhile, the annual rate of growth by core consumer prices slowed to 3.9% in December from 4% in November. Economists had expected the pace of core price growth to decelerate to 3.8%.
A number of economists have said the data makes the U.S. central bank less likely to cut interest rates in March, with many predicting the central bank will hold off until its May meeting.
A separate report released by the Labor Department showed first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits unexpectedly edged slightly lower in the week ended January 6th, falling to 202,000, a decrease of 1,000 from the previous week's revised level of 203,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to rise to 210,000 from the 202,000 originally reported for the previous week.
The dollar index climbed to 102.76 after the release of the Labor Department's inflation data, but has dropped to 102.31 now, down marginally from the previous close.
Against the Euro, the dollar is flat at 1.0974, after having firmed to 1.0931 earlier. The dollar is weak against Pound Sterling at 1.2763, easing from 1.2690 a unit of the British currency.
Against the Japanese currency, the dollar weakened to 145.32 yen. The dollar had firmed to 146.42 in early New York session after the inflation data.
The dollar is up marginally against the Aussie at 0.6688. Against Swiss franc, the dollar is up, fetching CHF 0.8520 a unit. The greenback is up slightly against the Loonie at C$1.3397.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224207/
Oil Futures Settle Higher On Supply Concerns
Oil futures settled higher on Thursday as prices rebounded on likely disruptions in trade and supplies amid rising tensions in the Middle East.
According to reports, Iran seized a tanker with Iraqi crude marked for delivery to Turkey on Thursday.
"The Navy of Iran's Army has announced the seizure of an American oil tanker in the Gulf of Oman with a judicial order," Iranian state media said, citing a statement from the Army.
The St Nikolas tanker had been the focus of US attention when it was accused of illegally smuggling Iranian crude oil despite sanctions and the U.S. Justice Department levied a fine of $2.4 million on the owner of the ship.
Signs of an escalating conflict in the Middle East after another Israeli strike in Rafah, supported oil prices.
Israel bombarded the southern Gaza Strip overnight, as U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken prepared to travel to Egypt for more talks aimed at containing Israel's war against Hamas.
Recent data showing a sharp increase in U.S. crude inventories limited the uptick in oil prices.
West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for February ended higher by $0.65 at $72.02 a barrel.
Brent crude futures were up $0.70 or 0.91% at $77.50 a barrel a little while ago.
Data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed crude oil inventories in the U.S. rose by 1.338 million barrels last week, as against forecasts for a decline of about 700,000 barrels.
Gasoline stocks increased 8 million barrels last week to 245 million barrels, while distillate stockpiles rose by 6.5 million barrels last week to 132.4 million barrels, the highest level since September 2021.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224205/
Thursday, 11 January 2024
*New Zealand Building Permits -10.6% On Month In November
New Zealand Building Permits -10.6% On Month In November
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224130/
US Inflation Preview: How Will Gold Prices, Nasdaq 100 and the US Dollar React?
Treasuries Turn Modestly Lower After Early Move To The Upside
Treasuries moved to the upside in early trading on Wednesday but came under pressure over the course of the session.
Bond prices pulled back well off their early highs and into negative territory. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, crept up by 1.1 basis points to 4.030 percent after hitting a low of 3.985 percent.
The downturn by treasuries came as bond traders expressed caution ahead of the release of key U.S. inflation data in the comings days.
The Labor Department's reports on consumer and producer price inflation, which are due to be released on Thursday and Friday, respectively, could have a significant impact on the outlook for interest rates.
With economists expecting the reports to show slowdowns in the annual rate of core price growth, the data could bolster optimism about near-term rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
However, if the data surprises to the episode, it could add to recent skepticism about whether the Fed will begin cutting rates in March.
Ahead of the reports, CME Group's FedWatch Tool is currently indicating a 64.5 percent chance the Fed will cut rates by a quarter point at its March meeting.
Meanwhile, traders seemed to shrug off the results of the Treasury Department's auction of $37 billion worth of ten-year notes, which attracted above average demand.
The ten-year note auction drew a high yield of 4.024 percent and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.56, while the ten previous ten-year note auctions had an average bid-to-cover ratio of 2.46.
The bid-to-cover ratio is a measure of demand that indicates the amount of bids for each dollar worth of securities being sold.
The Labor Department's report on consumer price inflation is likely to be in the spotlight on Thursday, overshadowing a separate report on weekly jobless claims.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224128/
Wednesday, 10 January 2024
Dollar Rises Against Major Rivals Ahead Of Inflation Data
The U.S. dollar moved higher against its major counterparts on Tuesday, ahead of the crucial inflation data, due later in the week.
The dollar was supported by hawkish comments from some Fed officials. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic on Monday reiterated his expectation of two rate cuts by the Fed this year.
Separately, Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman backed eventual rate cuts if inflation falls further towards the Fed's 2 percent target.
Market participants are pricing in about a 59.1% chance of a rate cut by March, compared with a 69.6% chance last week.
In economic news today, a report released by the Commerce Department showed the trade deficit narrowed to $63.2 billion in November from a revised $64.5 billion in October. Economists had expected the trade deficit to widen to $65.0 billion from the $64.3 billion originally reported for the previous month.
The unexpectedly smaller trade deficit came as the value of imports tumbled by 1.9 percent to $316.9 billion, while the value of export slumped by 1.9 percent to $253.7 billion.
The dollar index, which climbed to 102.66 around late morning, was hovering around 102.55 a little while ago, gaining more than 0.3%.
Against the Euro, the dollar strengthened to 1.0930, gaining about 0.2%. Against Pound Sterling, the dollar firmed to 1.2706, up from Monday's close of 1.2706 against a unit of Sterling.
The dollar gained against the Japanese currency, fetching 144.47 a unit, up from 144.23 yen a unit. Against the Aussie, the dollar was up at 0.6687, firming from 0.6721.
The dollar firmed to CHF 0.8527 from CHF 0.8479. Against the Loonie, the dollar climbed to C$ 1.3393 from C$ 1.3348.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224062/
Oil Futures Settle Notably Higher On Geopolitical Tensions
Oil prices climbed higher on Tuesday, rebounding from previous session's losses, as rising geopolitical risks raised concerns about possible supply and trade disruptions.
West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for February settled higher by $1.47 at $72.24 a barrel.
Brent crude futures ended higher by $1.47 or 1.9% at $77.59 a barrel.
Oil prices fell on Monday, dropping about 4%, after Saudi Arabia cut its selling prices to the lowest level in two years. Reports showing a jump in OPEC supply hurt as well.
Geopolitical tensions, and the closure of Libya's largest oilfield contributed to the jump in oil prices today.
The closure of the Sharara oilfield in Libya, which is one of the biggest in the country, has resulted in a shortfall of 300,000 barrels per day.
Due to security threats from Houthi militants amid the tensions in the Middle East, several major shipping companies are staying away from the Red Sea route.
Traders await weekly inventory data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) and U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). The API data is due later today, while EIA's report is due Wednesday morning.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2224060/
Gold Price and USD/JPY Forecast: US Inflation Outcome to Drive Market Direction
Tuesday, 9 January 2024
*South Korea Current Account Surplus $4.06 Billion In November
South Korea Current Account Surplus $4.06 Billion In November
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2223986/
Japan Household Spending Data Due On Tuesday
Japan will on Tuesday release November numbers for household spending, highlighting a modest day for Asia-Pacific economic activity. Spending is expected to rise 0.2 percent on month and fall 2.3 percent on year after slipping 0.1 percent on month and 2.5 percent on year in October.
Japan also will see December results for Tokyo inflation; in November, overall inflation rose 2.6 percent on year and core CPI was up an annual 2.3 percent.
South Korea will provide November figures for current account in October the current account surplus was $6.80 billion.
Australia will release November numbers for building approvals and retail sales. Approvals are expected to sink 2.0 percent on month after jumping 7.5 percent in October. Retail sales are called higher by 1.2 percent on month after easing 0.2 percent a month earlier.
Taiwan will see December data for imports, exports and trade balance. Imports are expected to fall 7.3 percent on month after tumbling 14.8 percent in November. Exports are called higher by an annual 4.9 percent, up from 3.8 percent in the previous month. The trade surplus is pegged at TWD8.70 billion, down from TWD9.80 billion a month earlier.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2223985/
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD’s Trend Hinges on US Inflation Data. What Now?
Oil Futures Settle Sharply Lower As Saudi Arabia Cuts Prices
Oil prices fell sharply on Monday, as Saudi Arabia's decision to cut prices offset concerns about an escalation in the Middle East conflict.
West Texas Intermediate Crude futures for February ended down $3.04 or about 4.4% at $70.77 a barrel.
Brent crude futures settled at $76.12 a barrel, down $2.74 from the previous close.
Saudi Arabia cut oil prices sharply to Asian markets, pushing the rates to the lowest level in 27 months, amid competition from rival suppliers and concerns about supply overheating.
Saudi Aramco slashed the official selling price (OSP) for February-loading Arab Light to Asia by $2 a barrel from January to $1.50 a barrel over Oman/Dubai quotes.
A report from Reuters said the output from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) rose 70,000 barrels per day in December to 27.88 million barrels per day.
On the geopolitical front, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken warned that the conflict in Gaza could "easily" spill over into a full-blown regional conflict.
Israel struck Hamas and Hezbollah terror facilities in Khan Yunis and Lebanon in overnight strikes, the Israel D?fense Forces said earlier today.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2223984/
Monday, 8 January 2024
European Economic News Preview: Eurozone Economic Sentiment, Retail Sales Data Due
Economic confidence and retail sales from the euro area are due on Monday, headlining a light day for the European economic news.
At 2.00 am ET, Destatis is scheduled to issue Germany's factory orders and foreign trade figures. Orders are forecast to grow 1.0 percent on month in November, in contrast to the 3.7 percent decrease in October. Exports are expected to rise 0.3 percent month-on-month, following a 0.2 percent drop.
In the meantime, manufacturing output data is due from Norway.
At 2.30 am ET, Switzerland's Federal Statistical Office publishes consumer prices and retail sales reports. Inflation is expected to rise slightly to 1.5 percent in December from 1.4 percent in November.
At 4.30 am ET, Eurozone Sentix investor confidence survey results are due. The investor sentiment index is seen at -15.5 in January compared to -16.8 in December. At 5.00 am ET, economic sentiment survey results and retail sales data are due from the euro area. Economists forecast retail sales to fall 0.3 percent on a monthly basis in November, reversing a 0.1 percent rise in October.
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source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2223925/
*The Stock Markets In Japan Are Closed On Monday For Coming Of Age Day And Will Re-open On Tuesday
The Stock Markets In Japan Are Closed On Monday For Coming Of Age Day And Will Re-open On Tuesday
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2223924/
Sunday, 7 January 2024
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Saturday, 6 January 2024
U.S. Dollar Little Changed Following Jobs Data
Following the modest pullback seen during Thursday's trading, the value of the U.S. dollar has shown a lack of direction on Friday.
The U.S. dollar index has bounced back and forth across the unchanged line and is currently up just 0.05 points or 0.1 percent at 102.47.
The greenback is trading at 144.73 yen versus the 144.63 yen it fetched at the close of New York trading on Thursday. Against the euro, the dollar is valued at $1.0940 compared to yesterday's $1.0945.
The volatility on the day comes as traders react to the release of some key U.S. economic data, including a closely watched Labor Department report showing stronger than expected job growth in December.
While the data initially raised concerns about the outlook for interest rates, positive sentiment prevailed as traders digested the details of the report, which also showed notable downward revisions to job growth in October and November.
The Labor Department said non-farm payroll employment surged by 216,000 jobs in December compared to economist estimates for an increase of about 170,000 jobs.
At the same time, the increases in employment in October and November were downwardly revised to 105,000 jobs and 173,000 jobs, respectively, reflecting a net downward revision of 71,000 jobs.
"There's no recession threat in this report, nor any reason for the Fed to worry about overheating," said FHN Financial Chief Economist Chris Low. "It is as safely down the middle as they come."
The Institute for Supply Management also released a report showing a bigger than expected slowdown in the pace of U.S. service sector growth.
The ISM said its services PMI fell to 50.6 in December from 52.7 in November. While a reading above 50 still indicates growth, economists had expected the index to show a much more modest decrease to 52.6.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2223923/