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Friday, 1 November 2019

Dollar Sees Another Weak Session

The U.S. dollar continued to exhibit weakness against major currencies on Thursday, with the latest interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and speculation about more cuts coming up in the foreseeable future weighing down the currency.

Although the Fed changed its wordings in the accompanying statement and cut down "act as appropriate," it still did not say anything to hint that there won't be further easing.

The dollar index touched a low of 97.22 in morning trades, and despite staging a recovery of sorts to 97.45, edged lower subsequently. It was last seen at 97.33, down notably from previous close of 97.65.

The euro was trading at $1.1152, slightly above previous close, after moving between $1.1132 and $1.1176 earlier.

Against pound sterling, the dollar weakened to 1.2976 before recovering some lost ground. Still, at 1.2945, the currency was down as much as 0.36% from previous close.

The Japanese currency also scored against the dollar, trading at 108.01 a dollar, compared to Wednesday's close of 108.85 yen a dollar.

The Bank of Japan maintained its policy rates on Thursday, but it signaled further monetary easing going forward as the economy is set to expand at a slower pace amid weaker inflation outlook.

The central bank said short and long-term interest rates are expected to remain at their current or lower levels as long as it is necessary to achieve the price stability target.

The BoJ downgraded its inflation and real growth projections. The real growth forecast for fiscal 2019 was cut to 0.6% percent from 0.7% and inflation outlook to 0.7% from 1%. It cut read GDP forecast to 0.7% and the outlook for fiscal 2021 to 1%, from earlier 0.9% and 1.1%, respectively.

The dollar - Swiss franc pair was trading at 0.9867, giving franc near 0.3% gain.

Against the loonie, the dollar was little changed at 1.3166. According to data released by Statistics Canada, the country's GDP grew 0.1% in August 2019, after stalling in the previous month. Economists expected GDP to grow by 0.2% in August.

The Aussie was weak against the dollar, with the pair quoting at 0.6894.

In economic news, the Labor Department's data showed a modest increase in first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits in the week ended October 26th.

The report said initial jobless claims rose to 218,000, an increase of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level of 213,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to inch up to 215,000 from the 212,000 originally reported for the previous week.

According to a report from the Commerce Department, personal income and spending in the U.S. both rose in line with economist estimates in the month of September.

The report said personal income increased by 0.3% in September after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.5% in August. Economists had expected personal income to rise by 0.3%.

Meanwhile, personal spending edged up by 0.2%, matching the revised uptick seen in August.

MNI Indicators released a report on Thursday showing the Chicago business barometer tumbled to 43.2 in October from 47.1 in September. Economists had expected the index to inch up to 48.0.

With the unexpected decrease, the Chicago business barometer slumped to its lowest level since December of 2015.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2145693/

Treasuries Move Sharply Higher Amid Renewed Uncertainty About Trade Deal

Extending the upward move seen over the two previous sessions, treasuries moved sharply higher during trading on Thursday.

Bond prices initially moved higher and saw some further upside as the day progressed. Subsequently, the yield on the benchmark ten-year note, which moves opposite of its price, tumbled by 10.7 basis points to 1.691 percent.

The rally by treasuries came as traders looked for safe havens amid renewed uncertainty about the potential for a long-term U.S.-China trade deal.

Optimism about phase one of a trade deal weighed on treasuries earlier this month, but a new report from Bloomberg said Chinese officials are casting doubts about reaching a comprehensive long-term trade agreement.

People familiar with the matter told Bloomberg that Chinese officials have warned in private conversations that they are unwilling to budge on the thorniest issues.

In an apparent effort to calm the markets, President Donald Trump tweeted that the U.S. and China are working on a new site to sign phase one of the trade deal.

Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping had been due to meet and potentially sign the deal at the APEC summit in Chile, but the Chilean President recently called off the summit due to unrest in the country.

"China and the USA are working on selecting a new site for signing of Phase One of Trade Agreement, about 60% of total deal, after APEC in Chile was canceled do to unrelated circumstances," Trump tweeted. "The new location will be announced soon. President Xi and President Trump will do signing!"

On the U.S. economic front, the Labor Department released a report showing a modest increase in first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits in the week ended October 26th.

The report said initial jobless claims rose to 218,000, an increase of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level of 213,000.

Economists had expected jobless claims to inch up to 215,000 from the 212,000 originally reported for the previous week.

A separate report from the Commerce Department showed personal income and spending both increased in line with economist estimates in the month of September.

The report said personal income increased by 0.3 percent in September after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.5 percent in August.

Meanwhile, the Commerce Department said personal spending edged up by 0.2 percent, matching the revised uptick seen in August.

The Labor Department's closely watched monthly jobs report is likely to be in focus on Friday, overshadowing separate reports on manufacturing activity and construction spending.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2145692/

Oil Futures Extend Losses To 4th Session, Settle Sharply Lower

Crude oil futures drifted down sharply on Thursday, extending losses to a fourth successive session, amid concerns over outlook for energy demand due to slowing economies and uncertainty about U.S.-China trade deal.

West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for December ended down $0.88, or about 1.6%, at $54.18 a barrel.

Brent crude futures ended down $0.40 at $60.21 a barrel on Thursday, after declining 1.6% in the previous session.

On Wednesday, WTI crude oil futures for December ended down $0.48, or 0.9%, at 55.06 a barrel.

Data released by the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday showed U.S. crude stockpiles rose by 5.7 million barrels in the week ended October 25th. That was more than twice the expected jump.

Weak data out of China raised concerns about energy demand outlook. China's service sector logged weaker growth in October, official survey results from the National Bureau of Statistics showed Thursday.

The non-manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index came in at 52.8, down from 53.7 in September. Nonetheless, a reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector.

The manufacturing PMI fell to 49.3 in October from 49.8 a month ago. The sector has been contracting since May and the reading was the lowest since last February.

The composite output index that covers manufacturing, services and construction, declined to 52.0 in October from 53.1 in the previous month.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2145691/

Gold Futures Rise On Safe-haven Appeal

Gold prices moved higher on Thursday as the dollar weakened following an interest rate cut, and global stocks drifted down amid uncertainty about the U.S. and China agreeing on a long term trade deal anytime soon.

The dollar index dropped to 97.22, its lowest level in about five months. It subsequently edged up to 97.36, still down by about 0.3%.

Gold futures for December ended up 18.10, or about 1.2%, at $1,514.80 an ounce, the highest settlement in about five weeks.

On Wednesday, gold futures for December ended at $1.496.70 an ounce, gaining $6, or about 0.4%.

Silver futures for December ended up $0.200 at $18.067 an ounce, while Copper futures for December settled at $2.6380 per pound, down $0.0480 from previous close.

On Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third time this year, as widely expected, citing weak inflation outlook and global growth concerns.

After cutting rates by 25 basis points, Federal Reserve officials said they'd need to see a marked and persistent rise in inflation before hiking borrowing costs in the future.

In economic news, the Labor Department's data showed a modest increase in first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits in the week ended October 26th.

The report said initial jobless claims rose to 218,000, an increase of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level of 213,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to inch up to 215,000 from the 212,000 originally reported for the previous week.

According to a report from the Commerce Department, personal income and spending in the U.S. both rose in line with economist estimates in the month of September.

The report said personal income increased by 0.3% in September after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.5% in August. Economists had expected personal income to rise by 0.3%.

Meanwhile, personal spending edged up by 0.2%, matching the revised uptick seen in August.

MNI Indicators released a report on Thursday showing the Chicago business barometer tumbled to 43.2 in October from 47.1 in September. Economists had expected the index to inch up to 48.0.

With the unexpected decrease, the Chicago business barometer slumped to its lowest level since December of 2015.


The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com

source http://www.mt5.com/forex_news/quickview/2145690/

Australian Dollar Jumps as China PMI Data Tops Expectations

The Australian Dollar jumped higher alongside the ASX 200 stocks benchmark as Caixin PMI data put Chinese manufacturing growth at a 20-month high. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/2NYYHlE

Post-Fed AUD/USD Advance Fizzles amid Doubts Over US-China Trade Deal

AUD/USD may struggle to hold its ground ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting on November 5 amid doubts surrounding the US-China trade deal. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/2NYYHlE

US Dollar Price Volatility Report: Nonfarm Payrolls, ISM PMI Ahead

USD price action could face a make-or-break turn during Friday's trading session as forex traders await the highly anticipated NFP report in addition to the latest ISM Manufacturing PMI reading. Via DailyFX - Market News https://ift.tt/2NYYHlE